Stephen Colbert’s final season on The Late Show drives the overwhelming market consensus at 76.5% implied probability, fueled by a strong Emmy narrative, nine total nominations, and consistent guild recognition as voters weigh legacy against newer entries. The July 2026 merger of talk and scripted variety categories placed Colbert alongside Last Week Tonight with John Oliver, Saturday Night Live, Jimmy Kimmel Live!, and The Daily Show, yet predictors across Variety and Gold Derby give Colbert the clear edge heading into final voting that closes August 26. As an area award requiring 90% approval for multiple winners, the category is expected to yield a single recipient on September 14.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiEmmys 2026: Outstanding variety series
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” 77%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” 5.7%
“Saturday Night Live” 4.0%
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!” 3.6%
$89,443 Vol.
$89,443 Vol.
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”
77%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver”
6%
“Saturday Night Live”
4%
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!”
4%
“The Daily Show”
3%
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” 77%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” 5.7%
“Saturday Night Live” 4.0%
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!” 3.6%
$89,443 Vol.
$89,443 Vol.
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”
77%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver”
6%
“Saturday Night Live”
4%
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!”
4%
“The Daily Show”
3%
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Stephen Colbert’s final season on The Late Show drives the overwhelming market consensus at 76.5% implied probability, fueled by a strong Emmy narrative, nine total nominations, and consistent guild recognition as voters weigh legacy against newer entries. The July 2026 merger of talk and scripted variety categories placed Colbert alongside Last Week Tonight with John Oliver, Saturday Night Live, Jimmy Kimmel Live!, and The Daily Show, yet predictors across Variety and Gold Derby give Colbert the clear edge heading into final voting that closes August 26. As an area award requiring 90% approval for multiple winners, the category is expected to yield a single recipient on September 14.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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