Mercedes leads trader consensus for Canadian Grand Prix constructor pole position at 42% implied probability, driven by its commanding 2026 constructors' championship lead of 180 points and consistent single-lap pace at Circuit Gilles Villeneuve, where the team secured pole in both 2024 and 2025. Kimi Antonelli's recent qualifying dominance, including poles and wins in China, Japan, and Miami, combined with George Russell's strong Montreal history, reinforces the edge, especially with targeted low-downforce upgrades debuting this weekend. McLaren follows at 33% on the strength of its 94-point standing and competitive qualifying form from Norris and Piastri, while Red Bull at 19.5% and Ferrari at 18% reflect solid but trailing race pace. Lower probabilities for Williams, Alpine, and others align with their limited recent qualifying results amid Mercedes' clear season-long advantage in qualifying sessions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMercedes 42%
Mclaren Mastercard 33%
Red Bull 20%
Ferrari 18%
Mercedes
42%
Mclaren Mastercard
33%
Red Bull
20%
Ferrari
18%
Williams
4%
Cadillac
3%
Alpine
2%
Aston Martin
2%
Racing Bulls
1%
Tgr Haas
1%
Audi Revolut
<1%
Mercedes 42%
Mclaren Mastercard 33%
Red Bull 20%
Ferrari 18%
Mercedes
42%
Mclaren Mastercard
33%
Red Bull
20%
Ferrari
18%
Williams
4%
Cadillac
3%
Alpine
2%
Aston Martin
2%
Racing Bulls
1%
Tgr Haas
1%
Audi Revolut
<1%
If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 25, 2026, 7:31 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mercedes leads trader consensus for Canadian Grand Prix constructor pole position at 42% implied probability, driven by its commanding 2026 constructors' championship lead of 180 points and consistent single-lap pace at Circuit Gilles Villeneuve, where the team secured pole in both 2024 and 2025. Kimi Antonelli's recent qualifying dominance, including poles and wins in China, Japan, and Miami, combined with George Russell's strong Montreal history, reinforces the edge, especially with targeted low-downforce upgrades debuting this weekend. McLaren follows at 33% on the strength of its 94-point standing and competitive qualifying form from Norris and Piastri, while Red Bull at 19.5% and Ferrari at 18% reflect solid but trailing race pace. Lower probabilities for Williams, Alpine, and others align with their limited recent qualifying results amid Mercedes' clear season-long advantage in qualifying sessions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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