Kimi Antonelli holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Formula 1 Drivers' Championship after 11 rounds, sitting on 219 points compared to Lewis Hamilton's 169 and George Russell's 160, which underpins his 74.6% implied probability in the market. The young Mercedes driver has extended his advantage with consistent podiums and victories, including a recent Belgian Grand Prix win that widened the gap to around 45-50 points. Hamilton's strong resurgence at Ferrari has kept him in second, but the deficit and upcoming Mercedes power unit penalties for Antonelli and Russell remain key variables. Russell trails slightly in the intra-team battle, while other contenders like Charles Leclerc, Lando Norris, and Max Verstappen sit far back with minimal realistic paths remaining. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing highlights Antonelli's form advantage and the difficulty of closing large mid-season gaps in a 22-round campaign.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiKimi Antonelli 74.6%
Lewis Hamilton 10.2%
George Russell 7%
Charles Leclerc 2.5%
$201,002,456 Vol.
$201,002,456 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
75%
Lewis Hamilton
10%
George Russell
7%
Charles Leclerc
2%
Lando Norris
2%
Max Verstappen
2%
Oscar Piastri
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Kimi Antonelli 74.6%
Lewis Hamilton 10.2%
George Russell 7%
Charles Leclerc 2.5%
$201,002,456 Vol.
$201,002,456 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
75%
Lewis Hamilton
10%
George Russell
7%
Charles Leclerc
2%
Lando Norris
2%
Max Verstappen
2%
Oscar Piastri
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kimi Antonelli holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Formula 1 Drivers' Championship after 11 rounds, sitting on 219 points compared to Lewis Hamilton's 169 and George Russell's 160, which underpins his 74.6% implied probability in the market. The young Mercedes driver has extended his advantage with consistent podiums and victories, including a recent Belgian Grand Prix win that widened the gap to around 45-50 points. Hamilton's strong resurgence at Ferrari has kept him in second, but the deficit and upcoming Mercedes power unit penalties for Antonelli and Russell remain key variables. Russell trails slightly in the intra-team battle, while other contenders like Charles Leclerc, Lando Norris, and Max Verstappen sit far back with minimal realistic paths remaining. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing highlights Antonelli's form advantage and the difficulty of closing large mid-season gaps in a 22-round campaign.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan