Josh Allen’s sustained elite production as a dual-threat quarterback anchors trader consensus at 23% implied probability for the 2026 fantasy points lead, reflecting his history of top-three finishes in points per game over recent seasons. Lamar Jackson, Jayden Daniels, Drake Maye, Joe Burrow, and Caleb Williams cluster behind with probabilities from 13.5% to 8%, driven by their rushing upside, offensive scheme fit, and recent form that supports high-volume scoring. The broad distribution across dozens of other starters at 3.5% or lower underscores the position’s inherent volatility, where injuries, usage changes, and matchup-dependent efficiency can shift outcomes even among proven or ascending signal-callers entering the new campaign.