Spain's status as reigning European champions and FIFA's second-ranked side, bolstered by a dominant qualification campaign and high Team Elo rating of 92%, positions them as overwhelming trader consensus favorites at 79.5% implied probability to win Group H, with favorable early fixtures against Cape Verde on June 15 in Atlanta and Saudi Arabia six days later. Uruguay trails at 16.5% as the primary challenger, thanks to Marcelo Bielsa's high-pressing tactics, José María Giménez's defensive leadership, and strong CONMEBOL form, setting up a pivotal finale. Recent training camp reports from early May highlight intense sessions across all teams with no major injuries, while Barcelona's April request to rest Lamine Yamal in Spain's first two games underscores minor fitness concerns but hasn't shifted sentiment. Saudi Arabia (3.1%) draws slim upset potential from their 2022 Argentina shock and Salem Al-Dawsari's creativity, while debutants Cape Verde (1.0%) lag due to lower rankings and limited big-stage experience.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiFIFA World Cup Group H Winner
FIFA World Cup Group H Winner
Spain 80%
Uruguay 16%
Saudi Arabia 3.1%
Cape Verde 1.0%
$174,143 Vol.
$174,143 Vol.
Spain
80%
Uruguay
16%
Saudi Arabia
3%
Cape Verde
1%
Spain 80%
Uruguay 16%
Saudi Arabia 3.1%
Cape Verde 1.0%
$174,143 Vol.
$174,143 Vol.
Spain
80%
Uruguay
16%
Saudi Arabia
3%
Cape Verde
1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain's status as reigning European champions and FIFA's second-ranked side, bolstered by a dominant qualification campaign and high Team Elo rating of 92%, positions them as overwhelming trader consensus favorites at 79.5% implied probability to win Group H, with favorable early fixtures against Cape Verde on June 15 in Atlanta and Saudi Arabia six days later. Uruguay trails at 16.5% as the primary challenger, thanks to Marcelo Bielsa's high-pressing tactics, José María Giménez's defensive leadership, and strong CONMEBOL form, setting up a pivotal finale. Recent training camp reports from early May highlight intense sessions across all teams with no major injuries, while Barcelona's April request to rest Lamine Yamal in Spain's first two games underscores minor fitness concerns but hasn't shifted sentiment. Saudi Arabia (3.1%) draws slim upset potential from their 2022 Argentina shock and Salem Al-Dawsari's creativity, while debutants Cape Verde (1.0%) lag due to lower rankings and limited big-stage experience.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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