Skip to main content
icon for Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?
Politik·Brasil

Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?

icon for Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?
Politik·Brasil

Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?

27% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
27% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro is charged with a crime or arrested by Brazilian authorities, including by authorities of any state or other subdivision of Brazil, by September 30, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government involved in any action against Bolsonaro and information from Bolsonaro and/or his legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Recent political developments center on an April 2026 Supreme Court-ordered Federal Police probe into Flávio Bolsonaro for alleged defamation against President Lula over January social media posts, alongside a May 2026 scandal involving leaked audio of funding discussions with jailed banker Daniel Vorcaro for a film project tied to his father.** Opposition figures have requested further investigations into these matters, but as of mid-June no formal charges have been filed or arrest warrants issued against the senator. Bolsonaro remains active in the 2026 presidential campaign, including international travel and polling as Lula’s main challenger, with legal processes involving high-profile figures often extending beyond short timeframes. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring no resolution by the September 30 deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro is charged with a crime or arrested by Brazilian authorities, including by authorities of any state or other subdivision of Brazil, by September 30, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government involved in any action against Bolsonaro and information from Bolsonaro and/or his legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,251
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 1, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro is charged with a crime or arrested by Brazilian authorities, including by authorities of any state or other subdivision of Brazil, by September 30, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government involved in any action against Bolsonaro and information from Bolsonaro and/or his legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro is charged with a crime or arrested by Brazilian authorities, including by authorities of any state or other subdivision of Brazil, by September 30, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government involved in any action against Bolsonaro and information from Bolsonaro and/or his legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Recent political developments center on an April 2026 Supreme Court-ordered Federal Police probe into Flávio Bolsonaro for alleged defamation against President Lula over January social media posts, alongside a May 2026 scandal involving leaked audio of funding discussions with jailed banker Daniel Vorcaro for a film project tied to his father.** Opposition figures have requested further investigations into these matters, but as of mid-June no formal charges have been filed or arrest warrants issued against the senator. Bolsonaro remains active in the 2026 presidential campaign, including international travel and polling as Lula’s main challenger, with legal processes involving high-profile figures often extending beyond short timeframes. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring no resolution by the September 30 deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro is charged with a crime or arrested by Brazilian authorities, including by authorities of any state or other subdivision of Brazil, by September 30, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government involved in any action against Bolsonaro and information from Bolsonaro and/or his legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,251
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 1, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro is charged with a crime or arrested by Brazilian authorities, including by authorities of any state or other subdivision of Brazil, by September 30, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government involved in any action against Bolsonaro and information from Bolsonaro and/or his legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 27% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 27¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 27% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Jun 10, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?" adalah 27% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 27% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.