Trader consensus favors Canceled at 54.5% for the France United Left primary—aimed at selecting a Nouveau Front Populaire presidential candidate—as negotiations stall amid threats of solo runs and party divisions. A May 5 Paris meeting featuring Marine Tondelier, François Ruffin, Clémentine Autain, and PS leader Olivier Faure sought to revive the process, but Ruffin's recent affirmation he'll campaign independently without it, echoed by Tondelier, has deepened skepticism, alongside LFI opposition and PS hesitation over format. Tondelier leads candidates at 28.5% on her EELV prominence and prior polling edge, with Ruffin at 11.5% buoyed by his dissident appeal post-LFI exit; Benjamin Lucas-Lundy's May 14 candidacy declaration drew minimal traction. Party heads may pivot to direct designation ahead of the October resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiCanceled 56%
Marine Tondelier 29%
François Ruffin 12%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy 1.8%
$51,256 Vol.
$51,256 Vol.
Oct 11, 2026
Canceled
56%
Marine Tondelier
29%
François Ruffin
12%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
2%
Lydie Massard
<1%
Clémentine Autain
<1%
Canceled 56%
Marine Tondelier 29%
François Ruffin 12%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy 1.8%
$51,256 Vol.
$51,256 Vol.
Oct 11, 2026
Canceled
$8,277 Vol.
56%
Marine Tondelier
$26,478 Vol.
29%
François Ruffin
$11,093 Vol.
12%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
$67 Vol.
2%
Lydie Massard
$1,464 Vol.
<1%
Clémentine Autain
$3,877 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Canceled at 54.5% for the France United Left primary—aimed at selecting a Nouveau Front Populaire presidential candidate—as negotiations stall amid threats of solo runs and party divisions. A May 5 Paris meeting featuring Marine Tondelier, François Ruffin, Clémentine Autain, and PS leader Olivier Faure sought to revive the process, but Ruffin's recent affirmation he'll campaign independently without it, echoed by Tondelier, has deepened skepticism, alongside LFI opposition and PS hesitation over format. Tondelier leads candidates at 28.5% on her EELV prominence and prior polling edge, with Ruffin at 11.5% buoyed by his dissident appeal post-LFI exit; Benjamin Lucas-Lundy's May 14 candidacy declaration drew minimal traction. Party heads may pivot to direct designation ahead of the October resolution.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Pasar Dibuka: May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
Volume
$51,256Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Canceled at 54.5% for the France United Left primary—aimed at selecting a Nouveau Front Populaire presidential candidate—as negotiations stall amid threats of solo runs and party divisions. A May 5 Paris meeting featuring Marine Tondelier, François Ruffin, Clémentine Autain, and PS leader Olivier Faure sought to revive the process, but Ruffin's recent affirmation he'll campaign independently without it, echoed by Tondelier, has deepened skepticism, alongside LFI opposition and PS hesitation over format. Tondelier leads candidates at 28.5% on her EELV prominence and prior polling edge, with Ruffin at 11.5% buoyed by his dissident appeal post-LFI exit; Benjamin Lucas-Lundy's May 14 candidacy declaration drew minimal traction. Party heads may pivot to direct designation ahead of the October resolution.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$51,256Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors Canceled at 54.5% for the France United Left primary—aimed at selecting a Nouveau Front Populaire presidential candidate—as negotiations stall amid threats of solo runs and party divisions. A May 5 Paris meeting featuring Marine Tondelier, François Ruffin, Clémentine Autain, and PS leader Olivier Faure sought to revive the process, but Ruffin's recent affirmation he'll campaign independently without it, echoed by Tondelier, has deepened skepticism, alongside LFI opposition and PS hesitation over format. Tondelier leads candidates at 28.5% on her EELV prominence and prior polling edge, with Ruffin at 11.5% buoyed by his dissident appeal post-LFI exit; Benjamin Lucas-Lundy's May 14 candidacy declaration drew minimal traction. Party heads may pivot to direct designation ahead of the October resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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