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French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
Pemilihan Umum·Pemilihan Umum Prancis

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

$26,161 Vol.

Apr 23, 2027
Polymarket

$26,161 Vol.

Polymarket

Éric Zemmour

$258 Vol.

62%

Jordan Bardella

$1,769 Vol.

73%

Michel Barnier

$192 Vol.

10%

Valérie Pécresse

$177 Vol.

12%

Élisabeth Borne

$298 Vol.

4%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$385 Vol.

14%

Jean Castex

$64 Vol.

18%

Gérald Darmanin

$171 Vol.

14%

Sébastien Lecornu

$284 Vol.

19%

François Bayrou

$505 Vol.

1%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$67 Vol.

11%

Carole Delga

$165 Vol.

13%

Olivier Faure

$1,765 Vol.

11%

François Hollande

$366 Vol.

59%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$2,085 Vol.

88%

Manuel Bompard

$397 Vol.

6%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$6,450 Vol.

97%

Mathilde Panot

$8,833 Vol.

2%

Dominique de Villepin

$61 Vol.

48%

Marine Le Pen

$473 Vol.

21%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.As of mid-2026, more than a dozen figures have formally declared presidential bids ahead of the April 2027 vote, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon announcing his fourth campaign in early May. Former prime ministers Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have also entered the race, while Bruno Retailleau secured Les Républicains’ endorsement after an internal vote in April. Additional confirmed candidacies include Karim Bouamrane and several left-wing and far-right contenders, reflecting a fragmented field across major parties. Macron’s ineligibility due to term limits, ongoing coalition negotiations, and the need for 500 elected-official signatures continue to shape positioning, with further announcements and potential withdrawals expected before year-end.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$26,161
Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 23, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.As of mid-2026, more than a dozen figures have formally declared presidential bids ahead of the April 2027 vote, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon announcing his fourth campaign in early May. Former prime ministers Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have also entered the race, while Bruno Retailleau secured Les Républicains’ endorsement after an internal vote in April. Additional confirmed candidacies include Karim Bouamrane and several left-wing and far-right contenders, reflecting a fragmented field across major parties. Macron’s ineligibility due to term limits, ongoing coalition negotiations, and the need for 500 elected-official signatures continue to shape positioning, with further announcements and potential withdrawals expected before year-end.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$26,161
Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 23, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 21 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Gabriel Attal" di 100%, diikuti oleh "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" di 97%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 100¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" telah menghasilkan $26.2K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Apr 22, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?," jelajahi 21 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" adalah "Gabriel Attal" di 100%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" di 97%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.