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Pemilihan Umum·Pemilihan Umum Global

Pemilihan Presiden Prancis Berikutnya

icon for Pemilihan Presiden Prancis Berikutnya
Pemilihan Umum·Pemilihan Umum Global

Pemilihan Presiden Prancis Berikutnya

Jordan Bardella 24%

Édouard Philippe 20%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12%

Marine Le Pen 6%

Polymarket

$72,150,956 Vol.

Jordan Bardella 24%

Édouard Philippe 20%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12%

Marine Le Pen 6%

Polymarket

$72,150,956 Vol.

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$894,544 Vol.

24%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$703,995 Vol.

20%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$557,385 Vol.

12%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$522,328 Vol.

6%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$1,204,132 Vol.

5%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$1,156,362 Vol.

5%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$1,021,413 Vol.

4%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$1,238,952 Vol.

3%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$1,367,173 Vol.

3%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$837,536 Vol.

2%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$1,303,759 Vol.

2%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$1,478,332 Vol.

1%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$889,564 Vol.

1%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$741,531 Vol.

1%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$1,362,991 Vol.

1%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$1,266,420 Vol.

1%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$2,068,180 Vol.

1%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$2,597,238 Vol.

1%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$743,027 Vol.

1%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$2,702,756 Vol.

1%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$2,180,618 Vol.

1%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$3,539,126 Vol.

1%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$2,816,419 Vol.

1%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$1,549,494 Vol.

1%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$2,086,683 Vol.

1%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$3,136,369 Vol.

1%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$3,045,680 Vol.

1%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$3,805,235 Vol.

1%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$3,566,924 Vol.

1%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$3,323,643 Vol.

1%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$2,667,799 Vol.

1%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$2,908,217 Vol.

1%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$3,236,814 Vol.

1%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$2,498,404 Vol.

1%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$3,367,074 Vol.

1%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$3,766,232 Vol.

1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).France’s fragmented political landscape, marked by divisions across the left, center, and traditional right, keeps probabilities tightly clustered among leading contenders for the April 2027 two-round presidential vote. Recent announcements, including Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s May confirmation of a fourth bid and Édouard Philippe’s campaign launch positioning him as the primary mainstream alternative, have sustained momentum for both while highlighting left-wing splits that limit broader consolidation. Jordan Bardella’s edge draws from National Rally strength in first-round polling amid ongoing instability from the 2024 hung parliament, yet trader consensus reflects uncertainty over potential legal outcomes for Marine Le Pen, center-right alliances, and any late shifts in voter blocs that could alter runoff matchups before the election.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$72,150,956
Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 30, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).France’s fragmented political landscape, marked by divisions across the left, center, and traditional right, keeps probabilities tightly clustered among leading contenders for the April 2027 two-round presidential vote. Recent announcements, including Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s May confirmation of a fourth bid and Édouard Philippe’s campaign launch positioning him as the primary mainstream alternative, have sustained momentum for both while highlighting left-wing splits that limit broader consolidation. Jordan Bardella’s edge draws from National Rally strength in first-round polling amid ongoing instability from the 2024 hung parliament, yet trader consensus reflects uncertainty over potential legal outcomes for Marine Le Pen, center-right alliances, and any late shifts in voter blocs that could alter runoff matchups before the election.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$72,150,956
Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 30, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Pemilihan Presiden Prancis Berikutnya" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 36 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Jordan Bardella" di 24%, diikuti oleh "Édouard Philippe" di 20%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 24¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 24% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Pemilihan Presiden Prancis Berikutnya" telah menghasilkan $72.2 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 13, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Pemilihan Presiden Prancis Berikutnya," jelajahi 36 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Pemilihan Presiden Prancis Berikutnya" adalah "Jordan Bardella" di 24%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 24% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Édouard Philippe" di 20%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Pemilihan Presiden Prancis Berikutnya" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.