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Politik·Primer

FL-09 Republican Primary Winner

icon for FL-09 Republican Primary Winner
Politik·Primer

FL-09 Republican Primary Winner

Marcus Carter 29%

Thomas Chalifoux 26%

Justin Story 12%

Jorge Malavet 8%

Polymarket

$18,934 Vol.

Marcus Carter 29%

Thomas Chalifoux 26%

Justin Story 12%

Jorge Malavet 8%

Polymarket

$18,934 Vol.

Marcus Carter

$447 Vol.

29%

Thomas Chalifoux

$918 Vol.

26%

Justin Story

$7,622 Vol.

26%

Jorge Malavet

$2,193 Vol.

8%

Howard Steven Rance

$7,756 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Marcus Carter leads trader consensus at 36% implied probability in the crowded FL-09 Republican primary, buoyed by his recent endorsement six days ago from the American Patriot Executive Committee and name recognition from his 2024 congressional run. Justin Story follows at 21.5% following his entry as a retired fighter pilot just days ago, appealing to voters prioritizing military credentials amid a fragmented field ahead of the June 12 filing deadline and August 18 primary. Thomas Chalifoux trails at 15% despite committing $3 million in personal funds four days ago and holding over $2.1 million cash on hand as of late March, reflecting trader skepticism toward heavy self-funding in early-stage primaries. Recent GOP-favoring redistricting has heightened stakes, but no public polling guides sentiment.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$18,934
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Marcus Carter leads trader consensus at 36% implied probability in the crowded FL-09 Republican primary, buoyed by his recent endorsement six days ago from the American Patriot Executive Committee and name recognition from his 2024 congressional run. Justin Story follows at 21.5% following his entry as a retired fighter pilot just days ago, appealing to voters prioritizing military credentials amid a fragmented field ahead of the June 12 filing deadline and August 18 primary. Thomas Chalifoux trails at 15% despite committing $3 million in personal funds four days ago and holding over $2.1 million cash on hand as of late March, reflecting trader skepticism toward heavy self-funding in early-stage primaries. Recent GOP-favoring redistricting has heightened stakes, but no public polling guides sentiment.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$18,934
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"FL-09 Republican Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 5 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Marcus Carter" di 28%, diikuti oleh "Thomas Chalifoux" di 26%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 28¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 28% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "FL-09 Republican Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $18.9K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Dec 23, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "FL-09 Republican Primary Winner," jelajahi 5 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "FL-09 Republican Primary Winner" adalah "Marcus Carter" di 28%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 28% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Thomas Chalifoux" di 26%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "FL-09 Republican Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.