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Politik·Primer

FL-09 Republican Primary Winner

icon for FL-09 Republican Primary Winner
Politik·Primer

FL-09 Republican Primary Winner

Jorge Martinez 27.9%

Thomas Chalifoux 26%

Ben Butler 22.1%

Dan Green 16%

Polymarket

$88,143 Vol.

Jorge Martinez 27.9%

Thomas Chalifoux 26%

Ben Butler 22.1%

Dan Green 16%

Polymarket

$88,143 Vol.

icon for Jorge Martinez

Jorge Martinez

$11,916 Vol.

28%

icon for Thomas Chalifoux

Thomas Chalifoux

$20,908 Vol.

26%

icon for Ben Butler

Ben Butler

$13,589 Vol.

22%

icon for Dan Green

Dan Green

$11,568 Vol.

16%

icon for Justin Story

Justin Story

$11,131 Vol.

1%

icon for Jorge Malavet

Jorge Malavet

$4,972 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcus Carter

Marcus Carter

$2,733 Vol.

<1%

icon for Steve Rance

Steve Rance

$1,460 Vol.

<1%

icon for Howard Steven Rance

Howard Steven Rance

$9,866 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.A recent Victory Insights poll shows Jorge Martinez, Thomas Chalifoux, and Ben Butler statistically tied near 14% each among likely Republican primary voters in Florida's 9th Congressional District, with Dan Green at 12% and 41% undecided, keeping the August 18 contest wide open within the margin of error. The crowded field of seven candidates, combined with the district's redrawn lines that now favor Republicans in the general election against incumbent Democrat Darren Soto, has produced fragmented support rather than consolidation behind any single contender. Candidate forums and questionnaires have highlighted differing backgrounds and priorities on costs and local issues, yet no clear frontrunner has emerged in the final days. Late-breaking endorsements, turnout differences among key voter blocs, or shifts among undecideds could still reorder the outcome before ballots close.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$88,143
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.A recent Victory Insights poll shows Jorge Martinez, Thomas Chalifoux, and Ben Butler statistically tied near 14% each among likely Republican primary voters in Florida's 9th Congressional District, with Dan Green at 12% and 41% undecided, keeping the August 18 contest wide open within the margin of error. The crowded field of seven candidates, combined with the district's redrawn lines that now favor Republicans in the general election against incumbent Democrat Darren Soto, has produced fragmented support rather than consolidation behind any single contender. Candidate forums and questionnaires have highlighted differing backgrounds and priorities on costs and local issues, yet no clear frontrunner has emerged in the final days. Late-breaking endorsements, turnout differences among key voter blocs, or shifts among undecideds could still reorder the outcome before ballots close.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$88,143
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"FL-09 Republican Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 9 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Jorge Martinez" di 28%, diikuti oleh "Thomas Chalifoux" di 26%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 28¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 28% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "FL-09 Republican Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $88.1K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Dec 23, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "FL-09 Republican Primary Winner," jelajahi 9 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "FL-09 Republican Primary Winner" adalah "Jorge Martinez" di 28%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 28% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Thomas Chalifoux" di 26%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "FL-09 Republican Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.