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icon for FL-09 Republican Primary Winner

FL-09 Republican Primary Winner

icon for FL-09 Republican Primary Winner

FL-09 Republican Primary Winner

Thomas Chalifoux 27%

Dan Green 26%

Jorge Martinez 25.4%

Ben Butler 22.1%

Polymarket

$90,413 Vol.

Thomas Chalifoux 27%

Dan Green 26%

Jorge Martinez 25.4%

Ben Butler 22.1%

Polymarket

$90,413 Vol.

icon for Thomas Chalifoux

Thomas Chalifoux

$20,978 Vol.

27%

icon for Dan Green

Dan Green

$11,838 Vol.

26%

icon for Jorge Martinez

Jorge Martinez

$12,161 Vol.

25%

icon for Ben Butler

Ben Butler

$15,231 Vol.

22%

icon for Justin Story

Justin Story

$11,149 Vol.

1%

icon for Jorge Malavet

Jorge Malavet

$4,978 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcus Carter

Marcus Carter

$2,739 Vol.

<1%

icon for Steve Rance

Steve Rance

$1,466 Vol.

<1%

icon for Howard Steven Rance

Howard Steven Rance

$9,872 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The tight contest for the Republican nomination in Florida’s 9th Congressional District stems from a crowded seven-candidate field and a recent redistricting that shifted the seat into Republican-leaning territory ahead of the August 18 primary. A late July Victory Insights poll showed Jorge Martinez, Thomas Chalifoux, and Ben Butler statistically tied near 14 percent, with Dan Green within the margin of error, reflecting fragmented support among likely primary voters. Candidates differentiate on economic concerns, military experience, and local governance records, yet none has secured a decisive edge through endorsements or standout events. Late developments such as final-week turnout efforts, targeted advertising, or shifts among key voter blocs in Central Florida could consolidate support and widen the gap before ballots are cast.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$90,413
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The tight contest for the Republican nomination in Florida’s 9th Congressional District stems from a crowded seven-candidate field and a recent redistricting that shifted the seat into Republican-leaning territory ahead of the August 18 primary. A late July Victory Insights poll showed Jorge Martinez, Thomas Chalifoux, and Ben Butler statistically tied near 14 percent, with Dan Green within the margin of error, reflecting fragmented support among likely primary voters. Candidates differentiate on economic concerns, military experience, and local governance records, yet none has secured a decisive edge through endorsements or standout events. Late developments such as final-week turnout efforts, targeted advertising, or shifts among key voter blocs in Central Florida could consolidate support and widen the gap before ballots are cast.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$90,413
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"FL-09 Republican Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 9 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Thomas Chalifoux" di 27%, diikuti oleh "Dan Green" di 26%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 27¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 27% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "FL-09 Republican Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $90.4K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Dec 23, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "FL-09 Republican Primary Winner," jelajahi 9 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "FL-09 Republican Primary Winner" adalah "Thomas Chalifoux" di 27%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 27% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Dan Green" di 26%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "FL-09 Republican Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.