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icon for Pemilihan Wali Kota Los Angeles

Pemilihan Wali Kota Los Angeles

icon for Pemilihan Wali Kota Los Angeles

Pemilihan Wali Kota Los Angeles

Karen Bass 53%

Spencer Pratt 25%

Nithya Raman 19%

Adam Miller <1%

Polymarket

$1,625,295 Vol.

Karen Bass 53%

Spencer Pratt 25%

Nithya Raman 19%

Adam Miller <1%

Polymarket

$1,625,295 Vol.

icon for Karen Bass

Karen Bass

$61,814 Vol.

53%

icon for Spencer Pratt

Spencer Pratt

$648,105 Vol.

25%

icon for Nithya Raman

Nithya Raman

$86,382 Vol.

19%

icon for Adam Miller

Adam Miller

$113,431 Vol.

1%

icon for Rae Huang

Rae Huang

$71,050 Vol.

1%

icon for Asaad Alnajjar

Asaad Alnajjar

$60,294 Vol.

<1%

icon for Austin Beutner

Austin Beutner

$14,788 Vol.

<1%

icon for Monica Rodriguez

Monica Rodriguez

$13,996 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rick Caruso

Rick Caruso

$436,696 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gina Viola

Gina Viola

$92,762 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lindsey Horvath

Lindsey Horvath

$26,071 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.Incumbent Mayor Karen Bass holds a trader consensus edge at 52.5% implied probability to win the Los Angeles mayoral election following a new Emerson College poll showing her at 30% among likely voters, ahead of Spencer Pratt's 22% and Nithya Raman's 19% with 16% undecided. Pratt's surge reflects strong debate performances last week, where he criticized Bass on homelessness, crime, and Palisades wildfires that destroyed his home, gaining traction among frustrated voters and endorsements from figures like Adam Carolla. Bass faced backlash for skipping a key forum, while Raman trails as a progressive councilmember. With the June 2 primary advancing top-two to a November runoff, undecideds and turnout in battleground areas like Pacific Palisades could tip advancement odds.

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Volume
$1,625,295
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 2, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.Incumbent Mayor Karen Bass holds a trader consensus edge at 52.5% implied probability to win the Los Angeles mayoral election following a new Emerson College poll showing her at 30% among likely voters, ahead of Spencer Pratt's 22% and Nithya Raman's 19% with 16% undecided. Pratt's surge reflects strong debate performances last week, where he criticized Bass on homelessness, crime, and Palisades wildfires that destroyed his home, gaining traction among frustrated voters and endorsements from figures like Adam Carolla. Bass faced backlash for skipping a key forum, while Raman trails as a progressive councilmember. With the June 2 primary advancing top-two to a November runoff, undecideds and turnout in battleground areas like Pacific Palisades could tip advancement odds.

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Volume
$1,625,295
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 2, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Pemilihan Wali Kota Los Angeles" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 11 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Karen Bass" di 53%, diikuti oleh "Spencer Pratt" di 25%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 53¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 53% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Pemilihan Wali Kota Los Angeles" telah menghasilkan $1.6 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Oct 9, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Pemilihan Wali Kota Los Angeles," jelajahi 11 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Pemilihan Wali Kota Los Angeles" adalah "Karen Bass" di 53%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 53% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Spencer Pratt" di 25%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Pemilihan Wali Kota Los Angeles" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.