Trader consensus heavily favors a Democratic win at 72.5% in Michigan's open U.S. Senate race following incumbent Gary Peters' decision against reelection, diverging from recent Glengariff Group polling (late April-early May) where Republican frontrunner Mike Rogers holds narrow leads over top Democratic primary contendersβ45%-40% vs. Abdul El-Sayed, 43%-41% vs. Mallory McMorrow, and 44%-42% vs. Haley Stevens. This positioning stems from midterm dynamics typically punishing the president's party (Republicans under Trump), Democrats' May 5 special election victory preserving their state senate majority amid swing-district competitiveness, and historical opposition gains in battleground states like Michigan. A combative Democratic primary, marked by April Israel policy clashes, McMorrow's May deleted-post controversy, and May 12 scrutiny of El-Sayed's physician claims, precedes August 4 nominating contests that could solidify a stronger general matchup.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. Β· Diperbarui$111,683 Vol.
$111,683 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
73%
Republican
27%
$111,683 Vol.
$111,683 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$80,694 Vol.
73%
Republican
$30,989 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the βDemocratβ or βRepublicanβ options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources havenβt called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus heavily favors a Democratic win at 72.5% in Michigan's open U.S. Senate race following incumbent Gary Peters' decision against reelection, diverging from recent Glengariff Group polling (late April-early May) where Republican frontrunner Mike Rogers holds narrow leads over top Democratic primary contendersβ45%-40% vs. Abdul El-Sayed, 43%-41% vs. Mallory McMorrow, and 44%-42% vs. Haley Stevens. This positioning stems from midterm dynamics typically punishing the president's party (Republicans under Trump), Democrats' May 5 special election victory preserving their state senate majority amid swing-district competitiveness, and historical opposition gains in battleground states like Michigan. A combative Democratic primary, marked by April Israel policy clashes, McMorrow's May deleted-post controversy, and May 12 scrutiny of El-Sayed's physician claims, precedes August 4 nominating contests that could solidify a stronger general matchup.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the βDemocratβ or βRepublicanβ options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources havenβt called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the βDemocratβ or βRepublicanβ options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources havenβt called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Pasar Dibuka: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$111,683Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the βDemocratβ or βRepublicanβ options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources havenβt called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus heavily favors a Democratic win at 72.5% in Michigan's open U.S. Senate race following incumbent Gary Peters' decision against reelection, diverging from recent Glengariff Group polling (late April-early May) where Republican frontrunner Mike Rogers holds narrow leads over top Democratic primary contendersβ45%-40% vs. Abdul El-Sayed, 43%-41% vs. Mallory McMorrow, and 44%-42% vs. Haley Stevens. This positioning stems from midterm dynamics typically punishing the president's party (Republicans under Trump), Democrats' May 5 special election victory preserving their state senate majority amid swing-district competitiveness, and historical opposition gains in battleground states like Michigan. A combative Democratic primary, marked by April Israel policy clashes, McMorrow's May deleted-post controversy, and May 12 scrutiny of El-Sayed's physician claims, precedes August 4 nominating contests that could solidify a stronger general matchup.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the βDemocratβ or βRepublicanβ options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources havenβt called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the βDemocratβ or βRepublicanβ options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources havenβt called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$111,683Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors a Democratic win at 72.5% in Michigan's open U.S. Senate race following incumbent Gary Peters' decision against reelection, diverging from recent Glengariff Group polling (late April-early May) where Republican frontrunner Mike Rogers holds narrow leads over top Democratic primary contendersβ45%-40% vs. Abdul El-Sayed, 43%-41% vs. Mallory McMorrow, and 44%-42% vs. Haley Stevens. This positioning stems from midterm dynamics typically punishing the president's party (Republicans under Trump), Democrats' May 5 special election victory preserving their state senate majority amid swing-district competitiveness, and historical opposition gains in battleground states like Michigan. A combative Democratic primary, marked by April Israel policy clashes, McMorrow's May deleted-post controversy, and May 12 scrutiny of El-Sayed's physician claims, precedes August 4 nominating contests that could solidify a stronger general matchup.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. Β· Diperbarui
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