**David Crowley holds an 80.5% implied probability in the Wisconsin governor race following his narrow August 11 primary victory over Francesca Hong, secured after re-entering with retiring Gov. Tony Evers’ endorsement.** Tom Tiffany won the Republican nomination with minimal opposition. Post-primary Marquette Law School polling shows Crowley leading Tiffany 49-44 among likely voters and tied at 44% among registered voters, with independents breaking toward Crowley and Democrats demonstrating slightly higher turnout commitment. The open-seat contest in the swing state features cost-of-living and economic concerns as top voter priorities, while early forecaster ratings classify the race as a toss-up or lean Democratic. These developments, combined with Crowley’s executive experience in Milwaukee County, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3 general election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWisconsin Governor Election Winner
$513,171 Vol.
$513,171 Vol.

David Crowley (D)
81%

Tom Tiffany (R)
20%
$513,171 Vol.
$513,171 Vol.

David Crowley (D)
81%

Tom Tiffany (R)
20%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Pasar Dibuka: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...**David Crowley holds an 80.5% implied probability in the Wisconsin governor race following his narrow August 11 primary victory over Francesca Hong, secured after re-entering with retiring Gov. Tony Evers’ endorsement.** Tom Tiffany won the Republican nomination with minimal opposition. Post-primary Marquette Law School polling shows Crowley leading Tiffany 49-44 among likely voters and tied at 44% among registered voters, with independents breaking toward Crowley and Democrats demonstrating slightly higher turnout commitment. The open-seat contest in the swing state features cost-of-living and economic concerns as top voter priorities, while early forecaster ratings classify the race as a toss-up or lean Democratic. These developments, combined with Crowley’s executive experience in Milwaukee County, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3 general election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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