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icon for South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Second Place
Politik·Primer

South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Second Place

icon for South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Second Place
Politik·Primer

South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Second Place

Ralph Norman 38%

Darline Graham Nordone 29%

Russell Fry 12%

Trey Gowdy 8%

Polymarket
BARU

Ralph Norman 38%

Darline Graham Nordone 29%

Russell Fry 12%

Trey Gowdy 8%

Polymarket
BARU
icon for Ralph Norman

Ralph Norman

$754 Vol.

38%

icon for Darline Graham Nordone

Darline Graham Nordone

$70 Vol.

29%

icon for Russell Fry

Russell Fry

$133 Vol.

12%

icon for Trey Gowdy

Trey Gowdy

$173 Vol.

8%

icon for Mark Sanford

Mark Sanford

$40 Vol.

6%

icon for Mark Lynch

Mark Lynch

$60 Vol.

5%

icon for Duke Buckner

Duke Buckner

$459 Vol.

5%

icon for Sheri Biggs

Sheri Biggs

$180 Vol.

4%

icon for Pamela Evette

Pamela Evette

$90 Vol.

4%

icon for Henry McMaster

Henry McMaster

$149 Vol.

7%

The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. A crowded field of Republican candidates in South Carolina's special Senate primary, set for August 11 following the vacancy, has kept second-place positioning tightly contested among multiple contenders. Recent candidate filings and the compressed timeline have fragmented support, with no dominant polling leader emerging to consolidate votes ahead of the first round. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, as endorsements from state party figures, congressional colleagues, and potential debate performances could shift momentum and clarify rankings. Historical patterns in open-seat primaries show late surges or withdrawals often determine lower placements, and any new polling averages or official announcements in the coming days may create clearer separation before ballots are cast.

The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$2,106
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 11, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 30, 2026, 3:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. A crowded field of Republican candidates in South Carolina's special Senate primary, set for August 11 following the vacancy, has kept second-place positioning tightly contested among multiple contenders. Recent candidate filings and the compressed timeline have fragmented support, with no dominant polling leader emerging to consolidate votes ahead of the first round. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, as endorsements from state party figures, congressional colleagues, and potential debate performances could shift momentum and clarify rankings. Historical patterns in open-seat primaries show late surges or withdrawals often determine lower placements, and any new polling averages or official announcements in the coming days may create clearer separation before ballots are cast.

The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$2,106
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 11, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 30, 2026, 3:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Terkait

icon for Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?

Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?

78%
icon for First round outright winner in the SC Special Republican Senate Primary?

First round outright winner in the SC Special Republican Senate Primary?

11%
icon for Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

55%

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Second Place" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 10 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Ralph Norman" di 38%, diikuti oleh "Darline Graham Nordone" di 29%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 38¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 38% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Second Place" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Jul 30, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Second Place," jelajahi 10 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Second Place" adalah "Ralph Norman" di 38%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 38% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Darline Graham Nordone" di 29%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Second Place" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.