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Pemilihan Umum·Pemilihan Umum Global

Next Premier of Quebec

icon for Next Premier of Quebec
Pemilihan Umum·Pemilihan Umum Global

Next Premier of Quebec

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 72%

Christine Fréchette 13.4%

Charles Milliard 13%

Bernard Drainville <1%

Polymarket

$242,804 Vol.

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 72%

Christine Fréchette 13.4%

Charles Milliard 13%

Bernard Drainville <1%

Polymarket

$242,804 Vol.

icon for Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

$17,822 Vol.

72%

icon for Christine Fréchette

Christine Fréchette

$23,780 Vol.

13%

icon for Charles Milliard

Charles Milliard

$12,169 Vol.

13%

icon for Bernard Drainville

Bernard Drainville

$58,618 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sol Zanetti

Sol Zanetti

$48,652 Vol.

<1%

icon for Éric Duhaime

Éric Duhaime

$47,615 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ruba Ghazal

Ruba Ghazal

$34,149 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul St-Pierre Plamondon holds a clear lead in the Next Premier of Quebec market at 71.5% because his Parti Québécois has topped voting-intention polls for most of 2026 at roughly 30%, ahead of the Liberals and CAQ in multiple Léger and Pallas surveys. The PQ has also secured successive by-election gains that reinforced its organizational momentum ahead of the October 5 fixed-date election. Christine Fréchette’s 13.4% reflects the CAQ’s post-Legault transition and declining satisfaction ratings, while Charles Milliard’s 13.0% tracks the Liberals’ modest rebound among non-francophone voters. Trader consensus prices these probabilities against a still-fluid campaign in which roughly half of voters remain undecided and seat projections hinge on regional swings in francophone ridings.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$242,804
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul St-Pierre Plamondon holds a clear lead in the Next Premier of Quebec market at 71.5% because his Parti Québécois has topped voting-intention polls for most of 2026 at roughly 30%, ahead of the Liberals and CAQ in multiple Léger and Pallas surveys. The PQ has also secured successive by-election gains that reinforced its organizational momentum ahead of the October 5 fixed-date election. Christine Fréchette’s 13.4% reflects the CAQ’s post-Legault transition and declining satisfaction ratings, while Charles Milliard’s 13.0% tracks the Liberals’ modest rebound among non-francophone voters. Trader consensus prices these probabilities against a still-fluid campaign in which roughly half of voters remain undecided and seat projections hinge on regional swings in francophone ridings.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$242,804
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Terkait

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Apakah Parti Québécois akan memenangkan kursi terbanyak dalam pemilihan umum Quebec 2026?

70%
Ya
icon for Another Canada election called by December 31, 2026?

Another Canada election called by December 31, 2026?

6%
icon for Apakah Gadi Eizenkot akan menjadi Perdana Menteri Israel berikutnya?

Apakah Gadi Eizenkot akan menjadi Perdana Menteri Israel berikutnya?

54%
Ya

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Next Premier of Quebec" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Paul St-Pierre Plamondon" di 72%, diikuti oleh "Christine Fréchette" di 13%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 72¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 72% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Next Premier of Quebec" telah menghasilkan $242.8K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada May 1, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Next Premier of Quebec," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Next Premier of Quebec" adalah "Paul St-Pierre Plamondon" di 72%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 72% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Christine Fréchette" di 13%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Next Premier of Quebec" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.