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Politik·Spanyol

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Spain?
Politik·Spanyol

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo 79%

Pedro Sánchez 14.8%

Santiago Abascal 3.8%

Isabel Díaz Ayuso 2.7%

Polymarket

$131,189 Vol.

Alberto Núñez Feijóo 79%

Pedro Sánchez 14.8%

Santiago Abascal 3.8%

Isabel Díaz Ayuso 2.7%

Polymarket

$131,189 Vol.

icon for Alberto Núñez Feijóo

Alberto Núñez Feijóo

$29,410 Vol.

79%

icon for Pedro Sánchez

Pedro Sánchez

$21,367 Vol.

15%

icon for Santiago Abascal

Santiago Abascal

$13,755 Vol.

4%

icon for Isabel Díaz Ayuso

Isabel Díaz Ayuso

$7,769 Vol.

3%

icon for Carlos Cuerpo

Carlos Cuerpo

$3,835 Vol.

<1%

icon for Óscar Puente

Óscar Puente

$3,480 Vol.

<1%

icon for María Jesús Montero

María Jesús Montero

$5,104 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yolanda Díaz

Yolanda Díaz

$4,592 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ernest Urtasun

Ernest Urtasun

$4,573 Vol.

<1%

icon for Aitor Esteban

Aitor Esteban

$4,968 Vol.

<1%

icon for Miguel Tellado

Miguel Tellado

$5,570 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ester Muñoz

Ester Muñoz

$5,653 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pepa Millán

Pepa Millán

$4,573 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cuca Gamarra

Cuca Gamarra

$5,170 Vol.

<1%

icon for Borja Sémper

Borja Sémper

$4,427 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carles Puigdemont

Carles Puigdemont

$6,942 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads trader pricing at 78.5% for Spain’s next prime minister because the Partido Popular maintains a consistent polling edge over the PSOE heading into the general election due by August 2027. Most surveys place PP support near 32-34% and PSOE near 25-28%, positioning a PP-Vox alliance for a workable majority in the Congress of Deputies. Pedro Sánchez’s 14.8% reflects sustained pressure on his minority government from corruption investigations, the Koldo affair, the Ceuta migration crisis, and legislative dependence on regional parties. Isabel Díaz Ayuso and Santiago Abascal register lower odds amid limited independent paths to investiture. Resolution hinges on the outcome of that vote and subsequent coalition negotiations.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$131,189
Tanggal Berakhir
Mar 31, 2028
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 26, 2026, 1:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads trader pricing at 78.5% for Spain’s next prime minister because the Partido Popular maintains a consistent polling edge over the PSOE heading into the general election due by August 2027. Most surveys place PP support near 32-34% and PSOE near 25-28%, positioning a PP-Vox alliance for a workable majority in the Congress of Deputies. Pedro Sánchez’s 14.8% reflects sustained pressure on his minority government from corruption investigations, the Koldo affair, the Ceuta migration crisis, and legislative dependence on regional parties. Isabel Díaz Ayuso and Santiago Abascal register lower odds amid limited independent paths to investiture. Resolution hinges on the outcome of that vote and subsequent coalition negotiations.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$131,189
Tanggal Berakhir
Mar 31, 2028
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 26, 2026, 1:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Next Prime Minister of Spain?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 16 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Alberto Núñez Feijóo" di 79%, diikuti oleh "Pedro Sánchez" di 15%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 79¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 79% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Next Prime Minister of Spain?" telah menghasilkan $131.2K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jun 26, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Next Prime Minister of Spain?," jelajahi 16 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Next Prime Minister of Spain?" adalah "Alberto Núñez Feijóo" di 79%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 79% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Pedro Sánchez" di 15%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Next Prime Minister of Spain?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.