Su Chiao-hui holds the leading position in the New Taipei mayoral race ahead of the November 28 vote, as traders assign her a 61.5 percent implied probability while Lee Shu-chuan sits at 39.5 percent. Recent polling from October and early November shows Su, the Democratic Progressive Party legislator, ahead or within the margin of error, with gains among undecided voters and in traditionally Kuomintang-leaning districts. The November 13 televised policy forum highlighted contrasting platforms, with Lee emphasizing continued infrastructure projects, MRT extensions, and private investment for urban renewal, while Su focused on balanced district development, industrial parks, job creation, and administrative streamlining. The open-seat contest after incumbent Hou Yu-ih’s term limit has kept the outcome competitive, though Su’s edge in recent surveys has shaped the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices.