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icon for New Zealand legislative election winner?
Politik·New Zealand Election

New Zealand legislative election winner?

icon for New Zealand legislative election winner?
Politik·New Zealand Election

New Zealand legislative election winner?

Labour Party 55%

National Party 46%

Green Party <1%

ACT New Zealand <1%

Polymarket

$56,880 Vol.

Labour Party 55%

National Party 46%

Green Party <1%

ACT New Zealand <1%

Polymarket

$56,880 Vol.

icon for National Party

National Party

$23,608 Vol.

46%

icon for Labour Party

Labour Party

$17,191 Vol.

55%

icon for Green Party

Green Party

$4,172 Vol.

<1%

icon for ACT New Zealand

ACT New Zealand

$4,130 Vol.

<1%

icon for New Zealand First Party

New Zealand First Party

$3,571 Vol.

<1%

icon for Te Pāti Māori

Te Pāti Māori

$4,208 Vol.

<1%

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent opinion polls for New Zealand’s 7 November 2026 general election show the Labour-led opposition bloc trading narrow leads with the incumbent National-led coalition, reflecting voter focus on cost-of-living pressures and mixed economic indicators. Under the MMP system, seat outcomes hinge on coalition negotiations involving ACT, New Zealand First, the Greens, and Te Pāti Māori, keeping the contest close. National has released policies on KiwiSaver and fiscal rules while facing internal leadership scrutiny; Labour has emphasized transport caps, health access, and investment funds. Trader consensus at 54.5% for Labour versus 46% for National captures this balance, with separation likely to emerge from upcoming economic releases, campaign momentum, or shifts in preferred prime minister ratings.

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Volume
$56,880
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 7, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent opinion polls for New Zealand’s 7 November 2026 general election show the Labour-led opposition bloc trading narrow leads with the incumbent National-led coalition, reflecting voter focus on cost-of-living pressures and mixed economic indicators. Under the MMP system, seat outcomes hinge on coalition negotiations involving ACT, New Zealand First, the Greens, and Te Pāti Māori, keeping the contest close. National has released policies on KiwiSaver and fiscal rules while facing internal leadership scrutiny; Labour has emphasized transport caps, health access, and investment funds. Trader consensus at 54.5% for Labour versus 46% for National captures this balance, with separation likely to emerge from upcoming economic releases, campaign momentum, or shifts in preferred prime minister ratings.

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Volume
$56,880
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 7, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).

Terkait

icon for Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

35%
icon for Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

53%
icon for Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

54%

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"New Zealand legislative election winner?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 6 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Labour Party" di 55%, diikuti oleh "National Party" di 46%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 55¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 55% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "New Zealand legislative election winner?" telah menghasilkan $56.9K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Apr 29, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "New Zealand legislative election winner?," jelajahi 6 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "New Zealand legislative election winner?" adalah "Labour Party" di 55%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 55% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "National Party" di 46%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "New Zealand legislative election winner?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.