Recent polling averages for New Zealand's November 7, 2026 general election place National and Labour as the clear top two parties, leaving Green and New Zealand First in a tight contest for third on party vote share. Aggregators show Greens holding steady near 10-11% while New Zealand First fluctuates between 8-12% across July and early August surveys, with ACT trailing slightly behind. The rising Opportunity Party, now polling near or above the 5% threshold in some releases, adds volatility that could further compress smaller-party results. Traders appear to weigh these trends and historical patterns of minor-party performance under mixed-member proportional representation when assessing the likelihood of each finishing third.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNew Zealand Election: 3rd Place
New Zealand Election: 3rd Place
Green Party 53%
New Zealand First Party 40%
ACT New Zealand 4.5%
National Party 1.7%
BARU
BARU
Nov 7, 2026
Green Party
53%
New Zealand First Party
40%
ACT New Zealand
4%
National Party
2%
Te Pāti Māori
<1%
Labour Party
<1%
Green Party 53%
New Zealand First Party 40%
ACT New Zealand 4.5%
National Party 1.7%
BARU
BARU
Nov 7, 2026
Green Party
$2,659 Vol.
53%
New Zealand First Party
$2,958 Vol.
40%
ACT New Zealand
$641 Vol.
4%
National Party
$355 Vol.
2%
Te Pāti Māori
$714 Vol.
<1%
Labour Party
$1,005 Vol.
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling averages for New Zealand's November 7, 2026 general election place National and Labour as the clear top two parties, leaving Green and New Zealand First in a tight contest for third on party vote share. Aggregators show Greens holding steady near 10-11% while New Zealand First fluctuates between 8-12% across July and early August surveys, with ACT trailing slightly behind. The rising Opportunity Party, now polling near or above the 5% threshold in some releases, adds volatility that could further compress smaller-party results. Traders appear to weigh these trends and historical patterns of minor-party performance under mixed-member proportional representation when assessing the likelihood of each finishing third.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Volume
$8,332Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling averages for New Zealand's November 7, 2026 general election place National and Labour as the clear top two parties, leaving Green and New Zealand First in a tight contest for third on party vote share. Aggregators show Greens holding steady near 10-11% while New Zealand First fluctuates between 8-12% across July and early August surveys, with ACT trailing slightly behind. The rising Opportunity Party, now polling near or above the 5% threshold in some releases, adds volatility that could further compress smaller-party results. Traders appear to weigh these trends and historical patterns of minor-party performance under mixed-member proportional representation when assessing the likelihood of each finishing third.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Volume
$8,332Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages for New Zealand's November 7, 2026 general election place National and Labour as the clear top two parties, leaving Green and New Zealand First in a tight contest for third on party vote share. Aggregators show Greens holding steady near 10-11% while New Zealand First fluctuates between 8-12% across July and early August surveys, with ACT trailing slightly behind. The rising Opportunity Party, now polling near or above the 5% threshold in some releases, adds volatility that could further compress smaller-party results. Traders appear to weigh these trends and historical patterns of minor-party performance under mixed-member proportional representation when assessing the likelihood of each finishing third.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTerkait
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
52%
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
55%
Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
37%
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