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Politik·Main Election

Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

icon for Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
Politik·Main Election

Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

Elif Eralp 49%

Stefan Evers 35%

Werner Graf 12%

Steffen Krach 5.3%

Polymarket

$26,931 Vol.

Elif Eralp 49%

Stefan Evers 35%

Werner Graf 12%

Steffen Krach 5.3%

Polymarket

$26,931 Vol.

icon for Elif Eralp

Elif Eralp

$10,345 Vol.

49%

icon for Stefan Evers

Stefan Evers

$9,816 Vol.

35%

icon for Werner Graf

Werner Graf

$4,757 Vol.

12%

icon for Steffen Krach

Steffen Krach

$745 Vol.

5%

icon for Kristin Brinker

Kristin Brinker

$1,268 Vol.

5%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Berlin state election scheduled for September 2026 will determine the next governing mayor through a vote in the House of Representatives, with current trader consensus assigning Elif Eralp of Die Linke the highest implied probability near 49 percent, followed by CDU candidate Stefan Evers near 35 percent. Incumbent Kai Wegner’s withdrawal in July opened the CDU slot for Evers, the state finance senator, consolidating party support but leaving the race competitive against Eralp’s established profile. Werner Graf of the Greens and smaller-party contenders such as Kristin Brinker trail further behind. Coalition arithmetic, turnout in key districts, and any late shifts in polling among the major blocs remain the primary variables that could widen or narrow the gap before election night.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$26,931
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Berlin state election scheduled for September 2026 will determine the next governing mayor through a vote in the House of Representatives, with current trader consensus assigning Elif Eralp of Die Linke the highest implied probability near 49 percent, followed by CDU candidate Stefan Evers near 35 percent. Incumbent Kai Wegner’s withdrawal in July opened the CDU slot for Evers, the state finance senator, consolidating party support but leaving the race competitive against Eralp’s established profile. Werner Graf of the Greens and smaller-party contenders such as Kristin Brinker trail further behind. Coalition arithmetic, turnout in key districts, and any late shifts in polling among the major blocs remain the primary variables that could widen or narrow the gap before election night.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$26,931
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Terkait

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Apakah Linke akan memenangkan kursi terbanyak dalam pemilihan negara bagian Berlin 2026?

41%
Ya
icon for Will AfD win 26-28 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Will AfD win 26-28 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

24%
icon for Will CDU win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Will CDU win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

37%

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 5 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Elif Eralp" di 49%, diikuti oleh "Stefan Evers" di 35%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 49¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 49% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?" telah menghasilkan $26.9K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Aug 11, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?," jelajahi 5 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?" adalah "Elif Eralp" di 49%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 49% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Stefan Evers" di 35%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.