The September 20, 2026 Berlin state election for the Abgeordnetenhaus remains the dominant driver of trader sentiment, with recent polls showing a fragmented race among the CDU, Die Linke, AfD, Greens, and SPD that leaves no two-party combination with a majority. The incumbent CDU-SPD coalition under Governing Mayor Kai Wegner faces pressure from shifting voter intentions, while first-time voting by 16- and 17-year-olds adds uncertainty to turnout. Coalition negotiations after the vote will likely center on three-party options such as CDU-Greens-SPD or Linke-Greens-SPD, as parties position for portfolio distribution and policy compromises on housing, budgets, and urban issues.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiBARU
Dec 31, 2026
Grüne
88%
SPD
76%
CDU
63%
Linke
52%
FW
8%
BSW
6%
FDP
5%
AfD
4%
$1,764 Vol.
Grüne
$83 Vol.
88%
SPD
$83 Vol.
76%
CDU
$148 Vol.
63%
Linke
$193 Vol.
52%
FW
$40 Vol.
8%
BSW
$80 Vol.
6%
FDP
$126 Vol.
5%
AfD
$1,011 Vol.
4%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.The September 20, 2026 Berlin state election for the Abgeordnetenhaus remains the dominant driver of trader sentiment, with recent polls showing a fragmented race among the CDU, Die Linke, AfD, Greens, and SPD that leaves no two-party combination with a majority. The incumbent CDU-SPD coalition under Governing Mayor Kai Wegner faces pressure from shifting voter intentions, while first-time voting by 16- and 17-year-olds adds uncertainty to turnout. Coalition negotiations after the vote will likely center on three-party options such as CDU-Greens-SPD or Linke-Greens-SPD, as parties position for portfolio distribution and policy compromises on housing, budgets, and urban issues.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 20, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
Volume
$1,764Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.The September 20, 2026 Berlin state election for the Abgeordnetenhaus remains the dominant driver of trader sentiment, with recent polls showing a fragmented race among the CDU, Die Linke, AfD, Greens, and SPD that leaves no two-party combination with a majority. The incumbent CDU-SPD coalition under Governing Mayor Kai Wegner faces pressure from shifting voter intentions, while first-time voting by 16- and 17-year-olds adds uncertainty to turnout. Coalition negotiations after the vote will likely center on three-party options such as CDU-Greens-SPD or Linke-Greens-SPD, as parties position for portfolio distribution and policy compromises on housing, budgets, and urban issues.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.
Volume
$1,764Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The September 20, 2026 Berlin state election for the Abgeordnetenhaus remains the dominant driver of trader sentiment, with recent polls showing a fragmented race among the CDU, Die Linke, AfD, Greens, and SPD that leaves no two-party combination with a majority. The incumbent CDU-SPD coalition under Governing Mayor Kai Wegner faces pressure from shifting voter intentions, while first-time voting by 16- and 17-year-olds adds uncertainty to turnout. Coalition negotiations after the vote will likely center on three-party options such as CDU-Greens-SPD or Linke-Greens-SPD, as parties position for portfolio distribution and policy compromises on housing, budgets, and urban issues.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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