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icon for NZ Election: National Party # of seats?
Politik·NZ

NZ Election: National Party # of seats?

icon for NZ Election: National Party # of seats?
Politik·NZ

NZ Election: National Party # of seats?

30-34 38%

35-39 37%

40-44 22%

<25 1.4%

Polymarket

$21,393 Vol.

30-34 38%

35-39 37%

40-44 22%

<25 1.4%

Polymarket

$21,393 Vol.

<25

$1,231 Vol.

7%

25-29

$928 Vol.

1%

30-34

$6,339 Vol.

38%

35-39

$5,149 Vol.

37%

40-44

$6,067 Vol.

22%

45-49

$811 Vol.

<1%

50+

$869 Vol.

<1%

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the National Party in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the National Party in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling averages place National at around 29-30% party vote, projecting 33-39 seats under New Zealand’s MMP system ahead of the 7 November election, with Labour nearly tied and minor parties fragmenting the vote. National’s support has slipped below 30% in multiple surveys, offset partly by gains for ACT and NZ First, while The Opportunities Party hovers near or above the 5% threshold and could draw seats that National has explicitly ruled out partnering with. Fluctuations across recent polls from Curia, Roy Morgan, Reid Research, and others reflect uncertainty over turnout, electorate seat holds, and coalition arithmetic needed to reach 62 seats. Further shifts in minor-party support or late campaign events could narrow or widen National’s projected range.

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the National Party in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the National Party in this election.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the National Party in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the National Party in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Volume
$21,393
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 29, 2026, 7:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the National Party in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the National Party in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling averages place National at around 29-30% party vote, projecting 33-39 seats under New Zealand’s MMP system ahead of the 7 November election, with Labour nearly tied and minor parties fragmenting the vote. National’s support has slipped below 30% in multiple surveys, offset partly by gains for ACT and NZ First, while The Opportunities Party hovers near or above the 5% threshold and could draw seats that National has explicitly ruled out partnering with. Fluctuations across recent polls from Curia, Roy Morgan, Reid Research, and others reflect uncertainty over turnout, electorate seat holds, and coalition arithmetic needed to reach 62 seats. Further shifts in minor-party support or late campaign events could narrow or widen National’s projected range.

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the National Party in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the National Party in this election.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the National Party in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the National Party in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Volume
$21,393
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 29, 2026, 7:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Terkait

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Will the Labour Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

35%
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Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

56%
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Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

50%

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"NZ Election: National Party # of seats?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "30-34" di 38%, diikuti oleh "35-39" di 37%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 38¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 38% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "NZ Election: National Party # of seats?" telah menghasilkan $21.4K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Apr 29, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "NZ Election: National Party # of seats?," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "NZ Election: National Party # of seats?" adalah "30-34" di 38%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 38% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "35-39" di 37%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "NZ Election: National Party # of seats?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.