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icon for Perdana Menteri Swedia berikutnya
Dunia·Pemilihan Umum Global

Perdana Menteri Swedia berikutnya

icon for Perdana Menteri Swedia berikutnya
Dunia·Pemilihan Umum Global

Perdana Menteri Swedia berikutnya

Magdalena Andersson 89%

Ulf Kristersson 11%

Ebba Busch <1%

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist <1%

Polymarket

$3,832,729 Vol.

Magdalena Andersson 89%

Ulf Kristersson 11%

Ebba Busch <1%

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist <1%

Polymarket

$3,832,729 Vol.

icon for Magdalena Andersson

Magdalena Andersson

$209,157 Vol.

89%

icon for Ulf Kristersson

Ulf Kristersson

$190,432 Vol.

11%

icon for Ebba Busch

Ebba Busch

$367,246 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist

$131,456 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nooshi Dadgostar

Nooshi Dadgostar

$947,566 Vol.

<1%

icon for Anna-Karin Hatt

Anna-Karin Hatt

$72,633 Vol.

<1%

icon for Amanda Lind

Amanda Lind

$79,105 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jimmie Åkesson

Jimmie Åkesson

$1,430,837 Vol.

<1%

icon for Simona Mohamsson

Simona Mohamsson

$124,444 Vol.

<1%

icon for Daniel Helldén

Daniel Helldén

$279,852 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sweden’s September 13, 2026, general election has shaped trader pricing for the next prime minister. Consistent polling since spring shows the Social Democrat-led opposition bloc holding a 7–10 point lead over the Tidö government parties, projecting 186–198 seats versus 151–163 and positioning Magdalena Andersson for a return to office. Recent Verian, Novus, and Demoskop surveys confirm the gap has narrowed only modestly while trust ratings favor Andersson over Ulf Kristersson by double digits. Campaign focus on welfare spending, cost of living, and energy has reinforced the opposition’s edge, with the Liberals remaining below the 4% threshold in most measurements. These patterns have sustained Andersson’s dominant implied probability ahead of the vote.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,832,729
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sweden’s September 13, 2026, general election has shaped trader pricing for the next prime minister. Consistent polling since spring shows the Social Democrat-led opposition bloc holding a 7–10 point lead over the Tidö government parties, projecting 186–198 seats versus 151–163 and positioning Magdalena Andersson for a return to office. Recent Verian, Novus, and Demoskop surveys confirm the gap has narrowed only modestly while trust ratings favor Andersson over Ulf Kristersson by double digits. Campaign focus on welfare spending, cost of living, and energy has reinforced the opposition’s edge, with the Liberals remaining below the 4% threshold in most measurements. These patterns have sustained Andersson’s dominant implied probability ahead of the vote.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,832,729
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Terkait

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Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?

89%
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Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

97%
icon for Apakah Partai Sosial Demokrat Swedia (S) akan memenangkan kursi terbanyak dalam pemilihan parlemen Swedia 2026?

Apakah Partai Sosial Demokrat Swedia (S) akan memenangkan kursi terbanyak dalam pemilihan parlemen Swedia 2026?

99%
Ya

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Perdana Menteri Swedia berikutnya" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 10 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Magdalena Andersson" di 89%, diikuti oleh "Ulf Kristersson" di 11%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 89¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 89% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Perdana Menteri Swedia berikutnya" telah menghasilkan $3.8 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jan 19, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Perdana Menteri Swedia berikutnya," jelajahi 10 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Perdana Menteri Swedia berikutnya" adalah "Magdalena Andersson" di 89%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 89% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Ulf Kristersson" di 11%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Perdana Menteri Swedia berikutnya" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.