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Politik·Brasil

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Espírito Santo

icon for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Espírito Santo
Politik·Brasil

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Espírito Santo

Flavio Bolsonaro 72%

Lula 19.4%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi 3.8%

Clariana Barao 3.5%

Polymarket
BARU

Flavio Bolsonaro 72%

Lula 19.4%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi 3.8%

Clariana Barao 3.5%

Polymarket
BARU
icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$1,111 Vol.

72%

icon for Lula

Lula

$152 Vol.

19%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$160 Vol.

4%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$136 Vol.

4%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$130 Vol.

2%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$109 Vol.

2%

icon for Zema

Zema

$365 Vol.

1%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$396 Vol.

1%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$301 Vol.

1%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$304 Vol.

1%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$424 Vol.

1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$345 Vol.

1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$304 Vol.

1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro leads the Espírito Santo first-round market at 72% amid strong regional consolidation of right-wing support for the Liberal Party nominee ahead of the October 4 vote. His position reflects polling trends showing him competitive or ahead in Southeast states, reinforced by his July 2026 party convention and the broader Bolsonarista voter base in the region. Lula trails at 19.4% consistent with national first-round surveys where he holds an edge overall but faces tighter or reversed margins locally. Lower probabilities for candidates such as Romeu Zema, Ronaldo Caiado, and Renan Santos align with their single-digit national support, while fringe options remain minimal due to limited visibility and organizational strength. Traders appear to weigh these state-level dynamics against the polarized national contest.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$4,236
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro leads the Espírito Santo first-round market at 72% amid strong regional consolidation of right-wing support for the Liberal Party nominee ahead of the October 4 vote. His position reflects polling trends showing him competitive or ahead in Southeast states, reinforced by his July 2026 party convention and the broader Bolsonarista voter base in the region. Lula trails at 19.4% consistent with national first-round surveys where he holds an edge overall but faces tighter or reversed margins locally. Lower probabilities for candidates such as Romeu Zema, Ronaldo Caiado, and Renan Santos align with their single-digit national support, while fringe options remain minimal due to limited visibility and organizational strength. Traders appear to weigh these state-level dynamics against the polarized national contest.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$4,236
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Terkait

icon for Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?

82%
icon for Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?

Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?

70%
icon for Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

60%

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Espírito Santo" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 13 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Flavio Bolsonaro" di 72%, diikuti oleh "Lula" di 19%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 72¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 72% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Espírito Santo" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Aug 17, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Espírito Santo," jelajahi 13 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Espírito Santo" adalah "Flavio Bolsonaro" di 72%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 72% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Lula" di 19%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Espírito Santo" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.