Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in Roraima first-round voting intentions according to recent state-level surveys, including a Quaest poll showing him at 52% against Lula at 17% and fragmented support for other names. Traders price this outcome at 97.2% because Roraima has long favored the Bolsonaro family and Liberal Party candidates, as seen in Jair Bolsonaro’s 76% share there in 2022 and the PL ally’s 60.8% win in the June 2026 gubernatorial supplementary election. National polling aggregates show a closer contest overall, yet the state’s consistent right-leaning patterns and limited organized opposition sustain the regional edge. Late shifts from vote fragmentation among other right-wing contenders or unexpected turnout changes remain the main variables that could narrow the margin before October voting.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiFlavio Bolsonaro 97.2%
Lula 2.4%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
Escritor Augusto Cury <1%
BARU
BARU
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
97%
Lula
2%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Zema
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 97.2%
Lula 2.4%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
Escritor Augusto Cury <1%
BARU
BARU
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$3,571 Vol.
97%
Lula
$657 Vol.
2%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$424 Vol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$560 Vol.
<1%
Zema
$417 Vol.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$498 Vol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$528 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$492 Vol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$448 Vol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$448 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$448 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$416 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$418 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in Roraima first-round voting intentions according to recent state-level surveys, including a Quaest poll showing him at 52% against Lula at 17% and fragmented support for other names. Traders price this outcome at 97.2% because Roraima has long favored the Bolsonaro family and Liberal Party candidates, as seen in Jair Bolsonaro’s 76% share there in 2022 and the PL ally’s 60.8% win in the June 2026 gubernatorial supplementary election. National polling aggregates show a closer contest overall, yet the state’s consistent right-leaning patterns and limited organized opposition sustain the regional edge. Late shifts from vote fragmentation among other right-wing contenders or unexpected turnout changes remain the main variables that could narrow the margin before October voting.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
Volume
$9,323Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in Roraima first-round voting intentions according to recent state-level surveys, including a Quaest poll showing him at 52% against Lula at 17% and fragmented support for other names. Traders price this outcome at 97.2% because Roraima has long favored the Bolsonaro family and Liberal Party candidates, as seen in Jair Bolsonaro’s 76% share there in 2022 and the PL ally’s 60.8% win in the June 2026 gubernatorial supplementary election. National polling aggregates show a closer contest overall, yet the state’s consistent right-leaning patterns and limited organized opposition sustain the regional edge. Late shifts from vote fragmentation among other right-wing contenders or unexpected turnout changes remain the main variables that could narrow the margin before October voting.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$9,323Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in Roraima first-round voting intentions according to recent state-level surveys, including a Quaest poll showing him at 52% against Lula at 17% and fragmented support for other names. Traders price this outcome at 97.2% because Roraima has long favored the Bolsonaro family and Liberal Party candidates, as seen in Jair Bolsonaro’s 76% share there in 2022 and the PL ally’s 60.8% win in the June 2026 gubernatorial supplementary election. National polling aggregates show a closer contest overall, yet the state’s consistent right-leaning patterns and limited organized opposition sustain the regional edge. Late shifts from vote fragmentation among other right-wing contenders or unexpected turnout changes remain the main variables that could narrow the margin before October voting.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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