Lula maintains a commanding lead in Piauí trader pricing for first-round votes, reflecting the Workers’ Party’s entrenched regional base in the Northeast and the incumbent’s consistent national polling advantage heading into the October 4 contest. Recent surveys place Lula well ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro and smaller right-leaning contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos, with the gap widening in states where PT historically dominates. No major state-specific shifts or scandals have altered this positioning in recent weeks, though national campaign dynamics—including candidate conventions, approval trends, and the absence of Jair Bolsonaro from the ballot—continue to shape overall expectations. Traders appear to view Lula’s path to topping the Piauí tally as structurally favored absent late disruptions within the resolution window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLula 93%
Edmilson Costa 9%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi 4.5%
Hertz Dias 4.0%
BARU
BARU
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
93%
Edmilson Costa
9%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
4%
Hertz Dias
4%
Ronaldo Caiado
4%
Samara
4%
Rui Costa Pimenta
4%
Clariana Barao
3%
Flavio Bolsonaro
2%
Escritor Augusto Cury
1%
Pablo Marçal
1%
Renan Santos
1%
Zema
1%
Lula 93%
Edmilson Costa 9%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi 4.5%
Hertz Dias 4.0%
BARU
BARU
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$328 Vol.
93%
Edmilson Costa
$54 Vol.
9%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$54 Vol.
4%
Hertz Dias
$64 Vol.
4%
Ronaldo Caiado
$54 Vol.
4%
Samara
$64 Vol.
4%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$54 Vol.
4%
Clariana Barao
$110 Vol.
3%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$110 Vol.
2%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$128 Vol.
1%
Pablo Marçal
$129 Vol.
1%
Renan Santos
$124 Vol.
1%
Zema
$124 Vol.
1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Piauí trader pricing for first-round votes, reflecting the Workers’ Party’s entrenched regional base in the Northeast and the incumbent’s consistent national polling advantage heading into the October 4 contest. Recent surveys place Lula well ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro and smaller right-leaning contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos, with the gap widening in states where PT historically dominates. No major state-specific shifts or scandals have altered this positioning in recent weeks, though national campaign dynamics—including candidate conventions, approval trends, and the absence of Jair Bolsonaro from the ballot—continue to shape overall expectations. Traders appear to view Lula’s path to topping the Piauí tally as structurally favored absent late disruptions within the resolution window.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ET
Volume
$1,219Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Piauí trader pricing for first-round votes, reflecting the Workers’ Party’s entrenched regional base in the Northeast and the incumbent’s consistent national polling advantage heading into the October 4 contest. Recent surveys place Lula well ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro and smaller right-leaning contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos, with the gap widening in states where PT historically dominates. No major state-specific shifts or scandals have altered this positioning in recent weeks, though national campaign dynamics—including candidate conventions, approval trends, and the absence of Jair Bolsonaro from the ballot—continue to shape overall expectations. Traders appear to view Lula’s path to topping the Piauí tally as structurally favored absent late disruptions within the resolution window.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$1,219Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a commanding lead in Piauí trader pricing for first-round votes, reflecting the Workers’ Party’s entrenched regional base in the Northeast and the incumbent’s consistent national polling advantage heading into the October 4 contest. Recent surveys place Lula well ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro and smaller right-leaning contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos, with the gap widening in states where PT historically dominates. No major state-specific shifts or scandals have altered this positioning in recent weeks, though national campaign dynamics—including candidate conventions, approval trends, and the absence of Jair Bolsonaro from the ballot—continue to shape overall expectations. Traders appear to view Lula’s path to topping the Piauí tally as structurally favored absent late disruptions within the resolution window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan