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icon for Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner
Politik·Brasil

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner

icon for Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner
Politik·Brasil

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner

Eduardo Paes 82.7%

Douglas Ruas 17.4%

Anthony Garotinho <1%

Rafa Luz <1%

Polymarket

$477,332 Vol.

Eduardo Paes 82.7%

Douglas Ruas 17.4%

Anthony Garotinho <1%

Rafa Luz <1%

Polymarket

$477,332 Vol.

icon for Eduardo Paes

Eduardo Paes

$79,150 Vol.

83%

icon for Douglas Ruas

Douglas Ruas

$36,549 Vol.

17%

icon for Anthony Garotinho

Anthony Garotinho

$29,367 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rafa Luz

Rafa Luz

$19,734 Vol.

<1%

icon for Felipe Curi

Felipe Curi

$29,258 Vol.

<1%

icon for Colonel Busnello

Colonel Busnello

$21,008 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dr. Luizinho

Dr. Luizinho

$18,566 Vol.

<1%

icon for Eduardo Pazuello

Eduardo Pazuello

$3,826 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tarcísio Motta

Tarcísio Motta

$17,339 Vol.

<1%

icon for Wilson Witzel

Wilson Witzel

$19,853 Vol.

<1%

icon for André Português

André Português

$3,688 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lindbergh Farias

Lindbergh Farias

$15,600 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nicola Miccione

Nicola Miccione

$5,387 Vol.

<1%

icon for André Ceciliano

André Ceciliano

$19,911 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chico Machado

Chico Machado

$16,095 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fred Pacheco

Fred Pacheco

$142,002 Vol.

<1%

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Paes (PSD) holds an 82.7% implied probability in the Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race due to consistent leads in September 2026 polls, including Datafolha (43%), Prefab Future (37.4%), and RealTime Big Data (35%), often positioning him for a first-round victory or strong runoff margin against Douglas Ruas (PL). Recent surveys show Ruas narrowing the gap modestly to 20-27% after gains since August, while Anthony Garotinho (Republicanos) trails at 7-10% amid his candidacy's recent court rejection over prior convictions. Multiple other registered candidates remain below 5%, with some registrations denied for suspected organized crime links. The October 2026 election timeline and ongoing electoral advertising keep focus on Paes's broad coalition support and incumbency advantages from his mayoral record.

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$477,332
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Paes (PSD) holds an 82.7% implied probability in the Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race due to consistent leads in September 2026 polls, including Datafolha (43%), Prefab Future (37.4%), and RealTime Big Data (35%), often positioning him for a first-round victory or strong runoff margin against Douglas Ruas (PL). Recent surveys show Ruas narrowing the gap modestly to 20-27% after gains since August, while Anthony Garotinho (Republicanos) trails at 7-10% amid his candidacy's recent court rejection over prior convictions. Multiple other registered candidates remain below 5%, with some registrations denied for suspected organized crime links. The October 2026 election timeline and ongoing electoral advertising keep focus on Paes's broad coalition support and incumbency advantages from his mayoral record.

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$477,332
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 16 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Eduardo Paes" di 83%, diikuti oleh "Douglas Ruas" di 17%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 83¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 83% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner" telah menghasilkan $477.3K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jun 9, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner," jelajahi 16 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner" adalah "Eduardo Paes" di 83%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 83% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Douglas Ruas" di 17%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.