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icon for Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner

Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner

icon for Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner

Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner

Jorginho Mello 97.6%

Marcelo Brigadeiro 1.8%

João Rodrigues <1%

Gelson Merisio <1%

Polymarket

$125,161 Vol.

Jorginho Mello 97.6%

Marcelo Brigadeiro 1.8%

João Rodrigues <1%

Gelson Merisio <1%

Polymarket

$125,161 Vol.

icon for Jorginho Mello

Jorginho Mello

$31,111 Vol.

98%

icon for Marcelo Brigadeiro

Marcelo Brigadeiro

$16,041 Vol.

2%

icon for João Rodrigues

João Rodrigues

$3,040 Vol.

1%

icon for Gelson Merisio

Gelson Merisio

$3,128 Vol.

1%

icon for Décio Lima

Décio Lima

$64,425 Vol.

<1%

icon for Afrânio Boppré

Afrânio Boppré

$2,765 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcos Vieira

Marcos Vieira

$2,478 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adriano Silva

Adriano Silva

$2,175 Vol.

<1%

The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jorginho Mello, the incumbent governor of Santa Catarina running for reelection with the Liberal Party, holds a commanding lead in the October 4, 2026, gubernatorial race according to recent polling. Surveys from mid-to-late September show him at 49-66% in first-round scenarios, well ahead of challengers including João Rodrigues (PSD) and Gelson Merísio (PSB). His position stems from strong incumbency performance since winning the 2022 runoff, consistent campaign outreach to business groups such as Fiesc and Facisc, agronegócio leaders, and other constituencies, plus a formal commitment against tax increases. Official party launch in August and alignment with broader right-leaning coalitions have reinforced trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. A first-round victory remains the most likely path, though late developments such as shifts in turnout or unforeseen events could still influence the final outcome before voting concludes.

The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$125,161
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jorginho Mello, the incumbent governor of Santa Catarina running for reelection with the Liberal Party, holds a commanding lead in the October 4, 2026, gubernatorial race according to recent polling. Surveys from mid-to-late September show him at 49-66% in first-round scenarios, well ahead of challengers including João Rodrigues (PSD) and Gelson Merísio (PSB). His position stems from strong incumbency performance since winning the 2022 runoff, consistent campaign outreach to business groups such as Fiesc and Facisc, agronegócio leaders, and other constituencies, plus a formal commitment against tax increases. Official party launch in August and alignment with broader right-leaning coalitions have reinforced trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. A first-round victory remains the most likely path, though late developments such as shifts in turnout or unforeseen events could still influence the final outcome before voting concludes.

The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$125,161
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 8 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Jorginho Mello" di 98%, diikuti oleh "Marcelo Brigadeiro" di 2%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 98¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 98% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner" telah menghasilkan $125.2K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jun 9, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner," jelajahi 8 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner" adalah "Jorginho Mello" di 98%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 98% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Marcelo Brigadeiro" di 2%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.