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Politik·Brasil

Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place

icon for Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place
Politik·Brasil

Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place

Manoel Carvalho 42%

Gustavo Galassi 27%

Marília Campos 24%

Victória Mello Vic 22%

Polymarket
BARU

Manoel Carvalho 42%

Gustavo Galassi 27%

Marília Campos 24%

Victória Mello Vic 22%

Polymarket
BARU
icon for Manoel Carvalho

Manoel Carvalho

$20 Vol.

42%

icon for Gustavo Galassi

Gustavo Galassi

$20 Vol.

27%

icon for Marília Campos

Marília Campos

$20 Vol.

24%

icon for Victória Mello Vic

Victória Mello Vic

$20 Vol.

22%

icon for Marcelo Aro

Marcelo Aro

$20 Vol.

22%

icon for Carlos Viana

Carlos Viana

$20 Vol.

21%

icon for Tião Pessoa

Tião Pessoa

$20 Vol.

21%

icon for Jordano Metalúrgico

Jordano Metalúrgico

$61 Vol.

18%

icon for Juiz Ramon Moreira

Juiz Ramon Moreira

$20 Vol.

20%

icon for Ana Luiza do MLB

Ana Luiza do MLB

$20 Vol.

20%

icon for Marcelo Heringer

Marcelo Heringer

$40 Vol.

20%

icon for Domingos Sávio

Domingos Sávio

$20 Vol.

18%

icon for Áurea Carolina

Áurea Carolina

$69 Vol.

18%

icon for Carlin Moura

Carlin Moura

$20 Vol.

18%

icon for Marco Antônio Superman

Marco Antônio Superman

$20 Vol.

18%

icon for Arcanjo Pimenta

Arcanjo Pimenta

$20 Vol.

20%

icon for Fidélis Alcântara

Fidélis Alcântara

$40 Vol.

7%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The contest for second place in the Minas Gerais Senate race remains tightly fragmented, with trader consensus assigning similar implied probabilities across a wide field of contenders. Recent July polling from Quaest and others shows Marília Campos (PT) leading overall but no single candidate dominating the battle for the remaining seat, as support scatters among names including Aécio Neves (PSDB, prior to any withdrawal), Carlos Viana (PSD), Marcelo Aro (PP), and Domingos Sávio (PL). This dispersion, combined with the first-past-the-post system electing two senators on October 4 and ongoing party realignments ahead of the October deadline, sustains high uncertainty. Late shifts in alliances, turnout among key blocs, or further candidate exits could quickly alter positioning before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$470
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:01 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The contest for second place in the Minas Gerais Senate race remains tightly fragmented, with trader consensus assigning similar implied probabilities across a wide field of contenders. Recent July polling from Quaest and others shows Marília Campos (PT) leading overall but no single candidate dominating the battle for the remaining seat, as support scatters among names including Aécio Neves (PSDB, prior to any withdrawal), Carlos Viana (PSD), Marcelo Aro (PP), and Domingos Sávio (PL). This dispersion, combined with the first-past-the-post system electing two senators on October 4 and ongoing party realignments ahead of the October deadline, sustains high uncertainty. Late shifts in alliances, turnout among key blocs, or further candidate exits could quickly alter positioning before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$470
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:01 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Terkait

icon for Will Marília Campos win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?

Will Marília Campos win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?

41%
icon for Will Jose Medeiros win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?

Will Jose Medeiros win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?

26%
icon for Will Eduardo Braga win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?

Will Eduardo Braga win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?

27%

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 17 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Manoel Carvalho" di 42%, diikuti oleh "Gustavo Galassi" di 27%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 42¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 42% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Aug 17, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place," jelajahi 17 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place" adalah "Manoel Carvalho" di 42%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 42% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Gustavo Galassi" di 27%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.