Recent polling in Paraná shows Flavio Bolsonaro (PL) maintaining a substantial lead in first-round vote intentions, with surveys from Real Time Big Data and AtlasIntel conducted in mid-September placing him at 47-53.7% against Lula (PT) at 30-34% and fragmented support for remaining contenders below 5%. This positioning aligns with the state's consistent preference for right-leaning candidates in national contests and the Liberal Party's organizational strength there. Jair Bolsonaro's endorsement of his son has consolidated conservative voters ahead of the October 4 vote. While national runoffs remain competitive, Paraná-specific data indicate limited upside for challengers unless late shifts occur from economic concerns or turnout changes among undecided voters.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiFlavio Bolsonaro 97.2%
Lula 1.9%
Renan Santos <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
$12,028 Vol.
$12,028 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
97%
Lula
2%
Renan Santos
1%
Clariana Barao
1%
Pablo Marçal
1%
Zema
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Samara
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 97.2%
Lula 1.9%
Renan Santos <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
$12,028 Vol.
$12,028 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$4,119 Vol.
97%
Lula
$529 Vol.
2%
Renan Santos
$521 Vol.
1%
Clariana Barao
$734 Vol.
1%
Pablo Marçal
$611 Vol.
1%
Zema
$696 Vol.
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$705 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$656 Vol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$743 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$732 Vol.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$604 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$742 Vol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$635 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling in Paraná shows Flavio Bolsonaro (PL) maintaining a substantial lead in first-round vote intentions, with surveys from Real Time Big Data and AtlasIntel conducted in mid-September placing him at 47-53.7% against Lula (PT) at 30-34% and fragmented support for remaining contenders below 5%. This positioning aligns with the state's consistent preference for right-leaning candidates in national contests and the Liberal Party's organizational strength there. Jair Bolsonaro's endorsement of his son has consolidated conservative voters ahead of the October 4 vote. While national runoffs remain competitive, Paraná-specific data indicate limited upside for challengers unless late shifts occur from economic concerns or turnout changes among undecided voters.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
Volume
$12,028Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling in Paraná shows Flavio Bolsonaro (PL) maintaining a substantial lead in first-round vote intentions, with surveys from Real Time Big Data and AtlasIntel conducted in mid-September placing him at 47-53.7% against Lula (PT) at 30-34% and fragmented support for remaining contenders below 5%. This positioning aligns with the state's consistent preference for right-leaning candidates in national contests and the Liberal Party's organizational strength there. Jair Bolsonaro's endorsement of his son has consolidated conservative voters ahead of the October 4 vote. While national runoffs remain competitive, Paraná-specific data indicate limited upside for challengers unless late shifts occur from economic concerns or turnout changes among undecided voters.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$12,028Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Paraná shows Flavio Bolsonaro (PL) maintaining a substantial lead in first-round vote intentions, with surveys from Real Time Big Data and AtlasIntel conducted in mid-September placing him at 47-53.7% against Lula (PT) at 30-34% and fragmented support for remaining contenders below 5%. This positioning aligns with the state's consistent preference for right-leaning candidates in national contests and the Liberal Party's organizational strength there. Jair Bolsonaro's endorsement of his son has consolidated conservative voters ahead of the October 4 vote. While national runoffs remain competitive, Paraná-specific data indicate limited upside for challengers unless late shifts occur from economic concerns or turnout changes among undecided voters.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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