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Pemilihan Umum·Brasil

Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner

icon for Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner
Pemilihan Umum·Brasil

Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner

Cleitinho Azevedo 53%

Rodrigo Pacheco 19%

Alexandre Kalil 8.5%

Gabriel Azevedo 5.1%

Polymarket

$17,682 Vol.

Cleitinho Azevedo 53%

Rodrigo Pacheco 19%

Alexandre Kalil 8.5%

Gabriel Azevedo 5.1%

Polymarket

$17,682 Vol.

icon for Cleitinho Azevedo

Cleitinho Azevedo

$5,978 Vol.

53%

icon for Rodrigo Pacheco

Rodrigo Pacheco

$2,993 Vol.

19%

icon for Alexandre Kalil

Alexandre Kalil

$744 Vol.

8%

icon for Gabriel Azevedo

Gabriel Azevedo

$1,424 Vol.

5%

icon for Tadeu Leite

Tadeu Leite

$1,544 Vol.

5%

icon for Alexandre Silveira

Alexandre Silveira

$595 Vol.

4%

icon for Nikolas Ferreira

Nikolas Ferreira

$2,174 Vol.

4%

icon for Aécio Neves

Aécio Neves

$632 Vol.

4%

icon for Benoni Mendes

Benoni Mendes

$972 Vol.

3%

icon for Mateus Simões

Mateus Simões

$626 Vol.

2%

The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Senator Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos) commands trader consensus at 51.5% implied probability for the Minas Gerais gubernatorial election, driven by his consistent lead in recent polls including Quaest (April 22-26) and DOXA (May 1-5), where he tops first-round scenarios at 28-30% against former Belo Horizonte mayor Alexandre Kalil (PDT) at 21-24%. Incumbent Governor Mateus Simões (PSD), who assumed office in March after Romeu Zema's presidential bid, trails at 7%, while Rodrigo Pacheco (PSB) polls at 6% but retains 18.5% market share due to prior Senate presidency and alliance talks—though signals as of May 13 indicate he may withdraw, risking a downward shift. The fragmented field features low-single digits for Gabriel Azevedo (MDB), Tadeu Leite, and others ahead of the October 4 first round and potential runoff.

The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$17,682
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Senator Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos) commands trader consensus at 51.5% implied probability for the Minas Gerais gubernatorial election, driven by his consistent lead in recent polls including Quaest (April 22-26) and DOXA (May 1-5), where he tops first-round scenarios at 28-30% against former Belo Horizonte mayor Alexandre Kalil (PDT) at 21-24%. Incumbent Governor Mateus Simões (PSD), who assumed office in March after Romeu Zema's presidential bid, trails at 7%, while Rodrigo Pacheco (PSB) polls at 6% but retains 18.5% market share due to prior Senate presidency and alliance talks—though signals as of May 13 indicate he may withdraw, risking a downward shift. The fragmented field features low-single digits for Gabriel Azevedo (MDB), Tadeu Leite, and others ahead of the October 4 first round and potential runoff.

The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$17,682
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 10 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Cleitinho Azevedo" di 53%, diikuti oleh "Rodrigo Pacheco" di 19%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 53¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 53% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner" telah menghasilkan $17.7K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Apr 27, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner," jelajahi 10 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner" adalah "Cleitinho Azevedo" di 53%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 53% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Rodrigo Pacheco" di 19%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.