Recent polling shows the Pará gubernatorial race between incumbent Hana Ghassan (MDB) and main challenger Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) remains competitive ahead of the October 4 first round, with surveys from early September producing mixed results that include technical ties and narrow leads for either candidate. Ghassan benefits from incumbency after assuming the governorship in 2026, along with alliances that include PT support for her vice-governor slot, while Santos draws backing as a former assembly president and current mayor. Other registered candidates trail far behind in voter intention data. Ongoing campaign events, including regional visits and electoral broadcasts, along with undecided voters exceeding 10% in multiple surveys, sustain uncertainty and keep implied probabilities from diverging sharply.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHana Ghassan 57%
Dr. Daniel Santos 39%
Éder Mauro 1.2%
Dirceu Ten Caten <1%
$45,834 Vol.
$45,834 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Hana Ghassan
57%
Dr. Daniel Santos
39%
Éder Mauro
1%
Dirceu Ten Caten
<1%
Zequinha Marinho
<1%
Rogério Barra
<1%
Paulo Rocha
<1%
Hana Ghassan 57%
Dr. Daniel Santos 39%
Éder Mauro 1.2%
Dirceu Ten Caten <1%
$45,834 Vol.
$45,834 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Hana Ghassan
$17,038 Vol.
57%
Dr. Daniel Santos
$12,154 Vol.
39%
Éder Mauro
$5,288 Vol.
1%
Dirceu Ten Caten
$2,815 Vol.
<1%
Zequinha Marinho
$2,811 Vol.
<1%
Rogério Barra
$2,872 Vol.
<1%
Paulo Rocha
$2,855 Vol.
<1%
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling shows the Pará gubernatorial race between incumbent Hana Ghassan (MDB) and main challenger Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) remains competitive ahead of the October 4 first round, with surveys from early September producing mixed results that include technical ties and narrow leads for either candidate. Ghassan benefits from incumbency after assuming the governorship in 2026, along with alliances that include PT support for her vice-governor slot, while Santos draws backing as a former assembly president and current mayor. Other registered candidates trail far behind in voter intention data. Ongoing campaign events, including regional visits and electoral broadcasts, along with undecided voters exceeding 10% in multiple surveys, sustain uncertainty and keep implied probabilities from diverging sharply.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
Volume
$45,834Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling shows the Pará gubernatorial race between incumbent Hana Ghassan (MDB) and main challenger Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) remains competitive ahead of the October 4 first round, with surveys from early September producing mixed results that include technical ties and narrow leads for either candidate. Ghassan benefits from incumbency after assuming the governorship in 2026, along with alliances that include PT support for her vice-governor slot, while Santos draws backing as a former assembly president and current mayor. Other registered candidates trail far behind in voter intention data. Ongoing campaign events, including regional visits and electoral broadcasts, along with undecided voters exceeding 10% in multiple surveys, sustain uncertainty and keep implied probabilities from diverging sharply.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$45,834Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows the Pará gubernatorial race between incumbent Hana Ghassan (MDB) and main challenger Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) remains competitive ahead of the October 4 first round, with surveys from early September producing mixed results that include technical ties and narrow leads for either candidate. Ghassan benefits from incumbency after assuming the governorship in 2026, along with alliances that include PT support for her vice-governor slot, while Santos draws backing as a former assembly president and current mayor. Other registered candidates trail far behind in voter intention data. Ongoing campaign events, including regional visits and electoral broadcasts, along with undecided voters exceeding 10% in multiple surveys, sustain uncertainty and keep implied probabilities from diverging sharply.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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