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Pemilihan Umum·Etiopia

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Pemilihan Umum·Etiopia

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Abiy Ahmed 96.9%

Gedion Timothewos 1.0%

Adanech Abiebie <1%

Berhanu Nega <1%

Polymarket

$283,985,811 Vol.

Abiy Ahmed 96.9%

Gedion Timothewos 1.0%

Adanech Abiebie <1%

Berhanu Nega <1%

Polymarket

$283,985,811 Vol.

icon for Abiy Ahmed

Abiy Ahmed

$135,863 Vol.

97%

icon for Gedion Timothewos

Gedion Timothewos

$55,932,715 Vol.

1%

icon for Adanech Abiebie

Adanech Abiebie

$83,447,581 Vol.

1%

icon for Berhanu Nega

Berhanu Nega

$29,634,723 Vol.

1%

icon for Alesa Mengesha

Alesa Mengesha

$13,576,016 Vol.

1%

icon for Belete Molla

Belete Molla

$32,286,252 Vol.

<1%

icon for Shimelis Abdisa

Shimelis Abdisa

$41,421,549 Vol.

<1%

icon for Demeke Mekonnen

Demeke Mekonnen

$27,551,112 Vol.

<1%

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Abiy Ahmed’s commanding position stems from his Prosperity Party’s landslide victory in Ethiopia’s June 2026 general election, securing 438 of 501 contested seats in the House of People’s Representatives. Under Ethiopia’s parliamentary system, this supermajority enables the party to name the prime minister, with Abiy scheduled for another term beginning in October. Recent consolidation of ruling-party control, limited opposition participation amid ongoing regional instability, and the absence of viable challengers have reinforced trader consensus around continuity. While a near-certain outcome, shifts could theoretically arise from unforeseen health developments, internal party realignments, or major escalations in domestic conflicts before formal confirmation.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$283,985,811
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 1, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Abiy Ahmed’s commanding position stems from his Prosperity Party’s landslide victory in Ethiopia’s June 2026 general election, securing 438 of 501 contested seats in the House of People’s Representatives. Under Ethiopia’s parliamentary system, this supermajority enables the party to name the prime minister, with Abiy scheduled for another term beginning in October. Recent consolidation of ruling-party control, limited opposition participation amid ongoing regional instability, and the absence of viable challengers have reinforced trader consensus around continuity. While a near-certain outcome, shifts could theoretically arise from unforeseen health developments, internal party realignments, or major escalations in domestic conflicts before formal confirmation.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$283,985,811
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 1, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 8 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Abiy Ahmed" di 97%, diikuti oleh "Gedion Timothewos" di 1%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 97¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 97% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" telah menghasilkan $284 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Apr 27, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?," jelajahi 8 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" adalah "Abiy Ahmed" di 97%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 97% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Gedion Timothewos" di 1%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.