Recent polls from state-affiliated firms like FOM and VTsIOM place A Just Russia near or slightly above the 5% party-list threshold for Duma entry, with estimates ranging from 4–7% in fieldwork from early September 2026, while independent surveys show similar borderline results around 4–6%. The party, led by Sergey Mironov, held its convention in July to finalize candidate lists and has emphasized social welfare measures alongside support for veterans of the special military operation. As one of the established systemic parties, it benefits from single-mandate constituency strength and the managed electoral environment that has historically ensured parliamentary representation for aligned groups. With voting set for September 18–20, trader consensus at 64.5% for clearing the threshold reflects this polling volatility and structural factors rather than guaranteed outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui65% peluang
BARU
BARU
Sep 20, 2026
65% peluang
BARU
BARU
Sep 20, 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the A Just Russia (SR) party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the A Just Russia (SR) party list. Whether A Just Russia (SR) is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the A Just Russia (SR) party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Recent polls from state-affiliated firms like FOM and VTsIOM place A Just Russia near or slightly above the 5% party-list threshold for Duma entry, with estimates ranging from 4–7% in fieldwork from early September 2026, while independent surveys show similar borderline results around 4–6%. The party, led by Sergey Mironov, held its convention in July to finalize candidate lists and has emphasized social welfare measures alongside support for veterans of the special military operation. As one of the established systemic parties, it benefits from single-mandate constituency strength and the managed electoral environment that has historically ensured parliamentary representation for aligned groups. With voting set for September 18–20, trader consensus at 64.5% for clearing the threshold reflects this polling volatility and structural factors rather than guaranteed outcomes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the A Just Russia (SR) party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the A Just Russia (SR) party list. Whether A Just Russia (SR) is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the A Just Russia (SR) party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the A Just Russia (SR) party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the A Just Russia (SR) party list. Whether A Just Russia (SR) is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the A Just Russia (SR) party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 14, 2026, 5:12 PM ET
Volume
$1,474Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 5:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the A Just Russia (SR) party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the A Just Russia (SR) party list. Whether A Just Russia (SR) is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the A Just Russia (SR) party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Recent polls from state-affiliated firms like FOM and VTsIOM place A Just Russia near or slightly above the 5% party-list threshold for Duma entry, with estimates ranging from 4–7% in fieldwork from early September 2026, while independent surveys show similar borderline results around 4–6%. The party, led by Sergey Mironov, held its convention in July to finalize candidate lists and has emphasized social welfare measures alongside support for veterans of the special military operation. As one of the established systemic parties, it benefits from single-mandate constituency strength and the managed electoral environment that has historically ensured parliamentary representation for aligned groups. With voting set for September 18–20, trader consensus at 64.5% for clearing the threshold reflects this polling volatility and structural factors rather than guaranteed outcomes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the A Just Russia (SR) party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the A Just Russia (SR) party list. Whether A Just Russia (SR) is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the A Just Russia (SR) party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the A Just Russia (SR) party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the A Just Russia (SR) party list. Whether A Just Russia (SR) is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the A Just Russia (SR) party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$1,474Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 5:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polls from state-affiliated firms like FOM and VTsIOM place A Just Russia near or slightly above the 5% party-list threshold for Duma entry, with estimates ranging from 4–7% in fieldwork from early September 2026, while independent surveys show similar borderline results around 4–6%. The party, led by Sergey Mironov, held its convention in July to finalize candidate lists and has emphasized social welfare measures alongside support for veterans of the special military operation. As one of the established systemic parties, it benefits from single-mandate constituency strength and the managed electoral environment that has historically ensured parliamentary representation for aligned groups. With voting set for September 18–20, trader consensus at 64.5% for clearing the threshold reflects this polling volatility and structural factors rather than guaranteed outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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