Skip to main content

Untuk trading di AS, kunjungi polymarket.us

icon for Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?
Politik·Pemilu AS

Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?

icon for Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?
Politik·Pemilu AS

Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?

Under 45 36%

45-54 22%

55-64 17%

65-74 9.5%

Polymarket
BARU

Under 45 36%

45-54 22%

55-64 17%

65-74 9.5%

Polymarket
BARU

Under 45

$1,024 Vol.

42%

45-54

$571 Vol.

22%

55-64

$247 Vol.

21%

65-74

$143 Vol.

10%

75-84

$135 Vol.

6%

85+

$148 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice. Trader consensus in this age-bracket market reflects the wide-open 2028 Democratic field and emphasis on generational turnover after consecutive older presidents. Leading probabilities for a nominee under 45 stem from the rising visibility of younger figures such as Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff in early national and state polling, alongside prediction-market pricing that places several candidates in that cohort among the top contenders. The 45-54 bracket draws support from established names like Pete Buttigieg, whose national profile and debate skills keep him competitive. Older brackets trail as party voices highlight fatigue with septuagenarian leadership and prioritize candidates who can energize newer voting blocs ahead of the post-2026 midterm primary cycle. No candidate has formally declared, leaving room for shifts based on 2026 results and early fundraising.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.

The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.

In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
Volume
$2,268
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2028
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice. Trader consensus in this age-bracket market reflects the wide-open 2028 Democratic field and emphasis on generational turnover after consecutive older presidents. Leading probabilities for a nominee under 45 stem from the rising visibility of younger figures such as Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff in early national and state polling, alongside prediction-market pricing that places several candidates in that cohort among the top contenders. The 45-54 bracket draws support from established names like Pete Buttigieg, whose national profile and debate skills keep him competitive. Older brackets trail as party voices highlight fatigue with septuagenarian leadership and prioritize candidates who can energize newer voting blocs ahead of the post-2026 midterm primary cycle. No candidate has formally declared, leaving room for shifts based on 2026 results and early fundraising.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.

The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.

In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
Volume
$2,268
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2028
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Terkait

icon for Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2028?

Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2028?

90%
icon for Apakah Gavin Newsom akan mengumumkan pencalonan Presiden sebelum 2027?

Apakah Gavin Newsom akan mengumumkan pencalonan Presiden sebelum 2027?

13%
Ya
icon for Akankah Partai Demokrat memenangkan Pemilihan Presiden AS 2028?

Akankah Partai Demokrat memenangkan Pemilihan Presiden AS 2028?

65%
Ya

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 6 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Under 45" di 42%, diikuti oleh "45-54" di 22%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 42¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 42% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Sep 15, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?," jelajahi 6 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?" adalah "Under 45" di 42%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 42% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "45-54" di 22%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.