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icon for Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

icon for Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

24% peluang
Polymarket

$270,779 Vol.

24% peluang
Polymarket

$270,779 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Pete Hegseth remains actively engaged as Secretary of Defense (now titled Secretary of War) into mid-2026, with no announced resignation or formal removal process underway.** He continues to testify on budget requests, conduct media appearances such as a June 10, 2026, briefing at MacDill Air Force Base, and participate in high-profile events including Face the Nation. President Trump’s consistent support has insulated the position despite internal Pentagon friction, including multiple senior officer firings and service secretary departures earlier in 2026. Congressional scrutiny has been largely partisan, with Democratic questioning focused on operational decisions and personnel moves, while Republican leadership has shown no coordinated effort to force a change. Trader consensus at 71% “No” for removal by December 31 aligns with the absence of acute political catalysts or institutional pressure that would overcome White House backing before year-end. Scheduled events like ongoing budget cycles and defense policy implementation further anchor expectations that the current leadership structure holds through the resolution window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$270,779
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 1, 2026, 3:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Pete Hegseth remains actively engaged as Secretary of Defense (now titled Secretary of War) into mid-2026, with no announced resignation or formal removal process underway.** He continues to testify on budget requests, conduct media appearances such as a June 10, 2026, briefing at MacDill Air Force Base, and participate in high-profile events including Face the Nation. President Trump’s consistent support has insulated the position despite internal Pentagon friction, including multiple senior officer firings and service secretary departures earlier in 2026. Congressional scrutiny has been largely partisan, with Democratic questioning focused on operational decisions and personnel moves, while Republican leadership has shown no coordinated effort to force a change. Trader consensus at 71% “No” for removal by December 31 aligns with the absence of acute political catalysts or institutional pressure that would overcome White House backing before year-end. Scheduled events like ongoing budget cycles and defense policy implementation further anchor expectations that the current leadership structure holds through the resolution window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$270,779
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 1, 2026, 3:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 24% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 24¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 24% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?" telah menghasilkan $270.8K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Apr 1, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?" adalah 24% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 24% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.