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icon for Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?
Politik·Angkatan Darat

Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?

icon for Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?
Politik·Angkatan Darat

Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?

Adam Telle 41%

W. Jordan Gillis 28%

Brent Ingraham 15%

Brian Mast 13%

Polymarket
BARU

Adam Telle 41%

W. Jordan Gillis 28%

Brent Ingraham 15%

Brian Mast 13%

Polymarket
BARU

Adam Telle

$26 Vol.

41%

W. Jordan Gillis

$26 Vol.

28%

Brent Ingraham

$26 Vol.

15%

Brian Mast

$26 Vol.

13%

Charles Young III

$26 Vol.

13%

Marc Andersen

$26 Vol.

13%

Michael Obadal

$26 Vol.

22%

Sean Parnell

$46 Vol.

43%

This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely contested trader consensus for Trump's next Army Secretary reflects multiple viable contenders following Dan Driscoll's recent resignation amid reported tensions with Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth. Adam Telle, elevated to acting secretary in early September after his Senate-confirmed role overseeing civil works, holds a narrow lead in current pricing, while Sean Parnell benefits from internal Pentagon advocacy as Hegseth's spokesperson. Other names such as Michael Obadal, Marc Andersen, and Rep. Brian Mast remain in consideration, with any permanent nominee requiring Senate confirmation that could surface questions over recent leadership changes. Upcoming White House nomination decisions and committee proceedings represent key catalysts that could shift probabilities among these candidates.

This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.

A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.

If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$228
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 19, 2029
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 2:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely contested trader consensus for Trump's next Army Secretary reflects multiple viable contenders following Dan Driscoll's recent resignation amid reported tensions with Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth. Adam Telle, elevated to acting secretary in early September after his Senate-confirmed role overseeing civil works, holds a narrow lead in current pricing, while Sean Parnell benefits from internal Pentagon advocacy as Hegseth's spokesperson. Other names such as Michael Obadal, Marc Andersen, and Rep. Brian Mast remain in consideration, with any permanent nominee requiring Senate confirmation that could surface questions over recent leadership changes. Upcoming White House nomination decisions and committee proceedings represent key catalysts that could shift probabilities among these candidates.

This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.

A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.

If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$228
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 19, 2029
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 2:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 8 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Sean Parnell" di 43%, diikuti oleh "Adam Telle" di 41%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 43¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 43% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Sep 15, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?," jelajahi 8 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?" adalah "Sean Parnell" di 43%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 43% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Adam Telle" di 41%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.