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icon for Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
Politics·Trump

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

icon for Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
Politics·Trump

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Dec 31

Dec 31

55% peluang
Polymarket

$13,918 Vol.

55% peluang
Polymarket

$13,918 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Howard Lutnick remains Commerce Secretary in June 2026, confirmed by the Senate in February 2025 and continuing to lead tariff, trade, and GDP initiatives under President Trump. Democratic calls for his resignation intensified after February 2026 Senate testimony on his past contacts with Jeffrey Epstein, including a 2012 island visit, prompting House Oversight letters in May. Republican committee leadership has dismissed these demands, and no administration action or Senate pressure has emerged to remove him. Similar prediction markets reflect low near-term exit odds, consistent with trader consensus that the incumbent is likely to complete the year absent a direct presidential decision.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$13,918
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 31, 2026, 4:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Howard Lutnick remains Commerce Secretary in June 2026, confirmed by the Senate in February 2025 and continuing to lead tariff, trade, and GDP initiatives under President Trump. Democratic calls for his resignation intensified after February 2026 Senate testimony on his past contacts with Jeffrey Epstein, including a 2012 island visit, prompting House Oversight letters in May. Republican committee leadership has dismissed these demands, and no administration action or Senate pressure has emerged to remove him. Similar prediction markets reflect low near-term exit odds, consistent with trader consensus that the incumbent is likely to complete the year absent a direct presidential decision.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$13,918
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 31, 2026, 4:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 50% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 50¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 50% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?" telah menghasilkan $13.9K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Mar 31, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?" adalah 50% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 50% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.