Howard Lutnick has served as Commerce Secretary since his February 2025 confirmation and continues to lead the department's trade, tariff, and economic policy efforts into mid-2026 with no announced plans or procedural steps toward departure. Earlier 2026 controversies over his past ties to Jeffrey Epstein prompted Democratic calls for resignation and committee scrutiny, yet these did not produce bipartisan support, White House signals of removal, or a successor nomination. Lutnick remains active in public appearances, budget testimony, and administration priorities, aligning with typical cabinet tenure patterns where presidents retain confirmed officials absent major new triggers. Traders price the "No" outcome at 66.5 percent given the lack of fresh catalysts before the December 31 window.