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icon for Pemimpin Venezuela akhir 2026?
Politik·Trump - Machado

Pemimpin Venezuela akhir 2026?

icon for Pemimpin Venezuela akhir 2026?
Politik·Trump - Machado

Pemimpin Venezuela akhir 2026?

Nicolás Maduro 82.1%

Delcy Rodríguez 10%

María Corina Machado 2.6%

Tidak Ada Kepala Negara <1%

Polymarket

$95,570,637 Vol.

Nicolás Maduro 82.1%

Delcy Rodríguez 10%

María Corina Machado 2.6%

Tidak Ada Kepala Negara <1%

Polymarket

$95,570,637 Vol.

Nicolás Maduro

$2,749,458 Vol.

82%

Delcy Rodríguez

$1,764,898 Vol.

10%

María Corina Machado

$1,443,258 Vol.

3%

Tidak Ada Kepala Negara

$1,512,106 Vol.

1%

Jorge Rodríguez

$1,152,001 Vol.

<1%

Edmundo González

$1,213,251 Vol.

<1%

Diosdado Cabello Rondón

$2,086,341 Vol.

<1%

Vladimir Padrino López

$802,484 Vol.

<1%

Dinorah Figuera

$2,972,148 Vol.

<1%

Evan Pettus

$5,631,797 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$1,120,260 Vol.

<1%

Marco Rubio

$1,397,001 Vol.

<1%

Pete Hegseth

$9,173,696 Vol.

<1%

Frank Donovan

$25,800,601 Vol.

<1%

Dan Caine

$4,113,079 Vol.

<1%

Richard Grenell

$32,638,258 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa). In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: this market is mutually exclusive. US military capture of Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 and his subsequent US detention on narco-terrorism charges shifted Venezuela's executive structure, with Vice President Delcy Rodríguez installed as interim leader under Supreme Tribunal orders and with reported US backing for stability and oil-sector cooperation. Rodríguez has consolidated control by replacing select Maduro loyalists while retaining key PSUV figures such as Jorge Rodríguez and Diosdado Cabello, amid limited progress toward the multi-party elections outlined in US three-phase stabilization plans. June 2026 earthquakes added humanitarian and economic strain without altering institutional continuity. Opposition figures including María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain in exile, facing structural barriers to rapid power transition. Trader consensus prices strong continuity for Maduro-aligned outcomes through year-end amid these factors.

This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.

If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).

In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.

If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.

The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Volume
$95,570,637
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa). In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa). In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: this market is mutually exclusive. US military capture of Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 and his subsequent US detention on narco-terrorism charges shifted Venezuela's executive structure, with Vice President Delcy Rodríguez installed as interim leader under Supreme Tribunal orders and with reported US backing for stability and oil-sector cooperation. Rodríguez has consolidated control by replacing select Maduro loyalists while retaining key PSUV figures such as Jorge Rodríguez and Diosdado Cabello, amid limited progress toward the multi-party elections outlined in US three-phase stabilization plans. June 2026 earthquakes added humanitarian and economic strain without altering institutional continuity. Opposition figures including María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain in exile, facing structural barriers to rapid power transition. Trader consensus prices strong continuity for Maduro-aligned outcomes through year-end amid these factors.

This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.

If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).

In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.

If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.

The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Volume
$95,570,637
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa). In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: this market is mutually exclusive.

Terkait

icon for Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

90%
icon for Apakah Mojtaba Khamenei akan menjadi kepala negara di Iran pada akhir tahun 2026?

Apakah Mojtaba Khamenei akan menjadi kepala negara di Iran pada akhir tahun 2026?

82%
Ya
icon for Delcy Rodríguez tidak lagi menjadi pemimpin Venezuela pada atau sebelum 31 Desember 2026?

Delcy Rodríguez tidak lagi menjadi pemimpin Venezuela pada atau sebelum 31 Desember 2026?

12%
Ya

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Pemimpin Venezuela akhir 2026?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 16 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Nicolás Maduro" di 82%, diikuti oleh "Delcy Rodríguez" di 10%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 82¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 82% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Pemimpin Venezuela akhir 2026?" telah menghasilkan $95.6 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jan 4, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Pemimpin Venezuela akhir 2026?," jelajahi 16 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Pemimpin Venezuela akhir 2026?" adalah "Nicolás Maduro" di 82%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 82% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Delcy Rodríguez" di 10%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Pemimpin Venezuela akhir 2026?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.