US military capture of Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 and his subsequent US detention on narco-terrorism charges shifted Venezuela's executive structure, with Vice President Delcy Rodríguez installed as interim leader under Supreme Tribunal orders and with reported US backing for stability and oil-sector cooperation. Rodríguez has consolidated control by replacing select Maduro loyalists while retaining key PSUV figures such as Jorge Rodríguez and Diosdado Cabello, amid limited progress toward the multi-party elections outlined in US three-phase stabilization plans. June 2026 earthquakes added humanitarian and economic strain without altering institutional continuity. Opposition figures including María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain in exile, facing structural barriers to rapid power transition. Trader consensus prices strong continuity for Maduro-aligned outcomes through year-end amid these factors.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiPemimpin Venezuela akhir 2026?
Nicolás Maduro 82.1%
Delcy Rodríguez 10%
María Corina Machado 2.6%
Tidak Ada Kepala Negara <1%
$95,570,637 Vol.
$95,570,637 Vol.
Nicolás Maduro
82%
Delcy Rodríguez
10%
María Corina Machado
3%
Tidak Ada Kepala Negara
1%
Jorge Rodríguez
<1%
Edmundo González
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Marco Rubio
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Nicolás Maduro 82.1%
Delcy Rodríguez 10%
María Corina Machado 2.6%
Tidak Ada Kepala Negara <1%
$95,570,637 Vol.
$95,570,637 Vol.
Nicolás Maduro
82%
Delcy Rodríguez
10%
María Corina Machado
3%
Tidak Ada Kepala Negara
1%
Jorge Rodríguez
<1%
Edmundo González
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Marco Rubio
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...US military capture of Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 and his subsequent US detention on narco-terrorism charges shifted Venezuela's executive structure, with Vice President Delcy Rodríguez installed as interim leader under Supreme Tribunal orders and with reported US backing for stability and oil-sector cooperation. Rodríguez has consolidated control by replacing select Maduro loyalists while retaining key PSUV figures such as Jorge Rodríguez and Diosdado Cabello, amid limited progress toward the multi-party elections outlined in US three-phase stabilization plans. June 2026 earthquakes added humanitarian and economic strain without altering institutional continuity. Opposition figures including María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain in exile, facing structural barriers to rapid power transition. Trader consensus prices strong continuity for Maduro-aligned outcomes through year-end amid these factors.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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