The January 2026 U.S. military operation that captured Nicolás Maduro and transferred him to U.S. custody for drug-related charges remains the dominant driver of current odds. Delcy Rodríguez, previously vice president, was sworn in as interim president with backing from the National Assembly, Supreme Court, and armed forces, preserving Chavista institutional control and military loyalty. Traders price Maduro at 82.2% for end-2026 leadership due to regime continuity, limited sanctions relief under U.S. engagement, and the absence of scheduled elections or a full opposition transition before late 2026. Delcy Rodríguez holds the next position at 9.5% as the current acting head amid ongoing diplomatic talks. Opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González register below 3% given fragmented influence, exile constraints, and structural barriers to rapid change. No major new catalysts have shifted these dynamics in recent months.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiPemimpin Venezuela akhir 2026?
Pemimpin Venezuela akhir 2026?
Nicolás Maduro 82.1%
Delcy Rodríguez 10%
María Corina Machado 2.6%
Tidak Ada Kepala Negara <1%
$95,562,991 Vol.
$95,562,991 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Nicolás Maduro
82%
Delcy Rodríguez
10%
María Corina Machado
3%
Tidak Ada Kepala Negara
1%
Edmundo González
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Marco Rubio
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Nicolás Maduro 82.1%
Delcy Rodríguez 10%
María Corina Machado 2.6%
Tidak Ada Kepala Negara <1%
$95,562,991 Vol.
$95,562,991 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Nicolás Maduro
$2,749,458 Vol.
82%
Delcy Rodríguez
$1,764,898 Vol.
10%
María Corina Machado
$1,443,258 Vol.
3%
Tidak Ada Kepala Negara
$1,512,106 Vol.
1%
Edmundo González
$1,213,251 Vol.
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
$2,086,324 Vol.
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
$1,150,214 Vol.
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
$800,769 Vol.
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
$2,971,838 Vol.
<1%
Evan Pettus
$5,630,062 Vol.
<1%
Donald Trump
$1,120,226 Vol.
<1%
Marco Rubio
$1,395,107 Vol.
<1%
Pete Hegseth
$9,173,544 Vol.
<1%
Frank Donovan
$25,800,601 Vol.
<1%
Dan Caine
$4,113,079 Vol.
<1%
Richard Grenell
$32,638,258 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
The January 2026 U.S. military operation that captured Nicolás Maduro and transferred him to U.S. custody for drug-related charges remains the dominant driver of current odds. Delcy Rodríguez, previously vice president, was sworn in as interim president with backing from the National Assembly, Supreme Court, and armed forces, preserving Chavista institutional control and military loyalty. Traders price Maduro at 82.2% for end-2026 leadership due to regime continuity, limited sanctions relief under U.S. engagement, and the absence of scheduled elections or a full opposition transition before late 2026. Delcy Rodríguez holds the next position at 9.5% as the current acting head amid ongoing diplomatic talks. Opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González register below 3% given fragmented influence, exile constraints, and structural barriers to rapid change. No major new catalysts have shifted these dynamics in recent months.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Volume
$95,562,991Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
The January 2026 U.S. military operation that captured Nicolás Maduro and transferred him to U.S. custody for drug-related charges remains the dominant driver of current odds. Delcy Rodríguez, previously vice president, was sworn in as interim president with backing from the National Assembly, Supreme Court, and armed forces, preserving Chavista institutional control and military loyalty. Traders price Maduro at 82.2% for end-2026 leadership due to regime continuity, limited sanctions relief under U.S. engagement, and the absence of scheduled elections or a full opposition transition before late 2026. Delcy Rodríguez holds the next position at 9.5% as the current acting head amid ongoing diplomatic talks. Opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González register below 3% given fragmented influence, exile constraints, and structural barriers to rapid change. No major new catalysts have shifted these dynamics in recent months.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Volume
$95,562,991Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The January 2026 U.S. military operation that captured Nicolás Maduro and transferred him to U.S. custody for drug-related charges remains the dominant driver of current odds. Delcy Rodríguez, previously vice president, was sworn in as interim president with backing from the National Assembly, Supreme Court, and armed forces, preserving Chavista institutional control and military loyalty. Traders price Maduro at 82.2% for end-2026 leadership due to regime continuity, limited sanctions relief under U.S. engagement, and the absence of scheduled elections or a full opposition transition before late 2026. Delcy Rodríguez holds the next position at 9.5% as the current acting head amid ongoing diplomatic talks. Opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González register below 3% given fragmented influence, exile constraints, and structural barriers to rapid change. No major new catalysts have shifted these dynamics in recent months.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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