**Machado remains in exile outside Venezuela as of early September 2026, following failed return attempts in late June amid twin earthquakes.** She sought entry via Curaçao and Panama to assist relief efforts but canceled plans after U.S. officials signaled no support and the Rodríguez interim government restricted airspace and flights. These efforts followed her December 2025 secret departure and aligned with her repeated statements committing to return before year-end 2026 while pursuing a presidential candidacy. U.S. policy has prioritized coordination with Rodríguez over facilitating Machado’s reentry, citing risks of destabilization. Trader sentiment reflects these diplomatic and logistical barriers, alongside any future catalysts such as additional humanitarian pressures, shifts in U.S. engagement, or scheduled political milestones that could alter access conditions.