Ongoing Ukraine war stalemate, with no verified progress on Anchorage framework compromises discussed in 2025, has kept bilateral Trump-Putin engagement limited since the Alaska summit and reduced near-term meeting prospects, supporting the 61% trader consensus on no summit by year-end. Deepening Russia-China coordination, highlighted by Putin's May 2026 Beijing visit days after Trump's own China trip, positions that venue as the leading alternative at 19.5%. Limited signals for other locations such as Russia, the United States, or Gulf states reflect stalled direct diplomacy, competing U.S. priorities, and G20 invitation uncertainty in December, with outcomes hinging on any verifiable diplomatic breakthroughs before December 31.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31 61%
China 20%
Russia 5%
Gulf country 5%
$48,275 Vol.
$48,275 Vol.

No meeting by December 31
61%

China
20%

Russia
5%

Gulf country
5%

United States
5%

Turkey
3%

Belarus
2%

Switzerland
2%

Other
1%

Other EU country
1%

South Korea
1%

Ukraine
1%

Finland
1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
No meeting by December 31 61%
China 20%
Russia 5%
Gulf country 5%
$48,275 Vol.
$48,275 Vol.

No meeting by December 31
61%

China
20%

Russia
5%

Gulf country
5%

United States
5%

Turkey
3%

Belarus
2%

Switzerland
2%

Other
1%

Other EU country
1%

South Korea
1%

Ukraine
1%

Finland
1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing Ukraine war stalemate, with no verified progress on Anchorage framework compromises discussed in 2025, has kept bilateral Trump-Putin engagement limited since the Alaska summit and reduced near-term meeting prospects, supporting the 61% trader consensus on no summit by year-end. Deepening Russia-China coordination, highlighted by Putin's May 2026 Beijing visit days after Trump's own China trip, positions that venue as the leading alternative at 19.5%. Limited signals for other locations such as Russia, the United States, or Gulf states reflect stalled direct diplomacy, competing U.S. priorities, and G20 invitation uncertainty in December, with outcomes hinging on any verifiable diplomatic breakthroughs before December 31.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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