Trader consensus assigns an 88.5% implied probability to Vladimir Putin remaining Russian president through December 31, 2026, driven by his firm constitutional position after the March 2024 election victory and 2020 amendments resetting term limits to allow service until 2036. Recent public displays of authority, including Putin personally driving through Moscow streets on May 11 and announcing a successful nuclear-capable missile test on May 13, signal robust health and leadership stability amid the protracted Ukraine conflict. Despite April criticisms over internet restrictions, rising taxes, and economic slowdown fueling viral discontent, high approval ratings persist with no elite fractures, coups, or succession signals evident. Barring unforeseen health events, assassination attempts, or Kremlin infighting, traders see negligible catalysts for removal before year-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiPutin keluar sebagai Presiden Rusia pada 31 Desember 2026?
Putin keluar sebagai Presiden Rusia pada 31 Desember 2026?
Ya
$4,270,274 Vol.
$4,270,274 Vol.
Ya
$4,270,274 Vol.
$4,270,274 Vol.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Trader consensus assigns an 88.5% implied probability to Vladimir Putin remaining Russian president through December 31, 2026, driven by his firm constitutional position after the March 2024 election victory and 2020 amendments resetting term limits to allow service until 2036. Recent public displays of authority, including Putin personally driving through Moscow streets on May 11 and announcing a successful nuclear-capable missile test on May 13, signal robust health and leadership stability amid the protracted Ukraine conflict. Despite April criticisms over internet restrictions, rising taxes, and economic slowdown fueling viral discontent, high approval ratings persist with no elite fractures, coups, or succession signals evident. Barring unforeseen health events, assassination attempts, or Kremlin infighting, traders see negligible catalysts for removal before year-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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