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icon for Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?
Geopolitik·Iran

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

icon for Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?
Geopolitik·Iran

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

BARU
Jul 31, 2026
Polymarket

$45 Vol.

Polymarket

July 31

$45 Vol.

6%

September 30

$0 Vol.

35%

December 31

$0 Vol.

29%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Abbas Araghchi remains Iran’s foreign minister as of July 2026, having held the post since his August 2024 appointment under President Masoud Pezeshkian.** Reports from April 2026 indicated that Pezeshkian and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sought his removal over allegations he coordinated nuclear talks directly with Revolutionary Guard commanders, bypassing elected officials. Araghchi has stayed active through June, issuing statements on U.S.-Iran ceasefire extensions, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and an MoU covering sanctions relief and nuclear negotiations. Mid-June hardline protests in cities including Mashhad called for his resignation, accusing him of excessive concessions. These events highlight ongoing tensions between reformist cabinet priorities and hardline security apparatus influence during post-conflict diplomacy, with no confirmed dismissal by early July.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$45
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 9, 2026, 9:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Abbas Araghchi remains Iran’s foreign minister as of July 2026, having held the post since his August 2024 appointment under President Masoud Pezeshkian.** Reports from April 2026 indicated that Pezeshkian and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sought his removal over allegations he coordinated nuclear talks directly with Revolutionary Guard commanders, bypassing elected officials. Araghchi has stayed active through June, issuing statements on U.S.-Iran ceasefire extensions, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and an MoU covering sanctions relief and nuclear negotiations. Mid-June hardline protests in cities including Mashhad called for his resignation, accusing him of excessive concessions. These events highlight ongoing tensions between reformist cabinet priorities and hardline security apparatus influence during post-conflict diplomacy, with no confirmed dismissal by early July.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$45
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 9, 2026, 9:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 3 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "September 30" di 35%, diikuti oleh "December 31" di 28%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 35¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 35% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Jul 9, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?," jelajahi 3 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?" adalah "September 30" di 35%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 35% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "December 31" di 28%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.