United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma elections as the long-dominant incumbent party holding a constitutional majority, benefiting from extensive state media access, candidate registration advantages, and limited opposition space after recent court actions removed parties such as Yabloko from the ballot. Preparations including party primaries and list placements featuring prominent figures have reinforced organizational control ahead of the three-day vote. Trader consensus at 98.3% reflects these structural factors and historical precedent of ruling-party outcomes in Russia’s managed electoral system. Scenarios that could still alter results remain narrow and would require major late developments such as unforeseen elite realignments or sharp shifts in the ongoing conflict that materially affect turnout or public sentiment.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiRusia Bersatu (ER) 98.3%
Yabloko <1%
Partai Demokrat Liberal Rusia (LDPR) <1%
Partai Komunis Federasi Rusia (KPRF) <1%
$3,156,119 Vol.
$3,156,119 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
Rusia Bersatu (ER)
98%
Yabloko
1%
Partai Demokrat Liberal Rusia (LDPR)
<1%
Partai Komunis Federasi Rusia (KPRF)
<1%
New People (NL)
<1%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
Rusia Bersatu (ER) 98.3%
Yabloko <1%
Partai Demokrat Liberal Rusia (LDPR) <1%
Partai Komunis Federasi Rusia (KPRF) <1%
$3,156,119 Vol.
$3,156,119 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
Rusia Bersatu (ER)
$790,677 Vol.
98%
Yabloko
$29,531 Vol.
1%
Partai Demokrat Liberal Rusia (LDPR)
$202,181 Vol.
<1%
Partai Komunis Federasi Rusia (KPRF)
$158,765 Vol.
<1%
New People (NL)
$134,290 Vol.
<1%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$734,562 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$502,708 Vol.
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$603,407 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma elections as the long-dominant incumbent party holding a constitutional majority, benefiting from extensive state media access, candidate registration advantages, and limited opposition space after recent court actions removed parties such as Yabloko from the ballot. Preparations including party primaries and list placements featuring prominent figures have reinforced organizational control ahead of the three-day vote. Trader consensus at 98.3% reflects these structural factors and historical precedent of ruling-party outcomes in Russia’s managed electoral system. Scenarios that could still alter results remain narrow and would require major late developments such as unforeseen elite realignments or sharp shifts in the ongoing conflict that materially affect turnout or public sentiment.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Volume
$3,156,119Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma elections as the long-dominant incumbent party holding a constitutional majority, benefiting from extensive state media access, candidate registration advantages, and limited opposition space after recent court actions removed parties such as Yabloko from the ballot. Preparations including party primaries and list placements featuring prominent figures have reinforced organizational control ahead of the three-day vote. Trader consensus at 98.3% reflects these structural factors and historical precedent of ruling-party outcomes in Russia’s managed electoral system. Scenarios that could still alter results remain narrow and would require major late developments such as unforeseen elite realignments or sharp shifts in the ongoing conflict that materially affect turnout or public sentiment.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$3,156,119Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma elections as the long-dominant incumbent party holding a constitutional majority, benefiting from extensive state media access, candidate registration advantages, and limited opposition space after recent court actions removed parties such as Yabloko from the ballot. Preparations including party primaries and list placements featuring prominent figures have reinforced organizational control ahead of the three-day vote. Trader consensus at 98.3% reflects these structural factors and historical precedent of ruling-party outcomes in Russia’s managed electoral system. Scenarios that could still alter results remain narrow and would require major late developments such as unforeseen elite realignments or sharp shifts in the ongoing conflict that materially affect turnout or public sentiment.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTerkait
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
42%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
84%
Apakah Rusia Bersatu (ER) akan mendapatkan kursi terbanyak dalam pemilihan parlemen Rusia berikutnya?
71%
Ya
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