Ukraine maintains political continuity under President Zelenskyy amid the ongoing conflict with Russia, with no verified coup attempts or major internal power seizures reported through mid-2026. Trader sentiment reflects the absence of recent triggers such as large-scale military defections, parliamentary seizures, or elite-level challenges, despite periodic protests over anticorruption legislation and EU accession strains in 2025. Historical precedents like the 2014 events and isolated 2024 plots remain distant, while institutional controls by security services and wartime measures have contained dissent. Market pricing aligns with low implied probability of a widely reported attempt, factoring in the war's focus on external fronts rather than domestic upheaval and the lack of scheduled events likely to destabilize leadership before any resolution windows.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$169,141 Vol.
December 31
8%
$169,141 Vol.
December 31
8%
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ukraine maintains political continuity under President Zelenskyy amid the ongoing conflict with Russia, with no verified coup attempts or major internal power seizures reported through mid-2026. Trader sentiment reflects the absence of recent triggers such as large-scale military defections, parliamentary seizures, or elite-level challenges, despite periodic protests over anticorruption legislation and EU accession strains in 2025. Historical precedents like the 2014 events and isolated 2024 plots remain distant, while institutional controls by security services and wartime measures have contained dissent. Market pricing aligns with low implied probability of a widely reported attempt, factoring in the war's focus on external fronts rather than domestic upheaval and the lack of scheduled events likely to destabilize leadership before any resolution windows.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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