Trader consensus reflects near-certain stability in Ukraine's wartime leadership, with no verified intelligence, official announcements, or major developments signaling a coup attempt by June 30 amid martial law suspending elections and unifying elites against Russian invasion. Zelenskyy's administration maintains control through SBU counter-subversion operations that routinely foil Russian-linked assassination plots and internal dissent, while mobilization challenges and frontline pressures have not escalated to organized overthrow threats in recent weeks. High confidence stems from historical failed destabilization efforts and institutional resilience; realistic shifts could arise from sudden military collapse prompting elite defections or scandals, though significant barriers like unified security apparatus make this improbable before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$12,248 Vol.
$12,248 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
$12,248 Vol.
$12,248 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus reflects near-certain stability in Ukraine's wartime leadership, with no verified intelligence, official announcements, or major developments signaling a coup attempt by June 30 amid martial law suspending elections and unifying elites against Russian invasion. Zelenskyy's administration maintains control through SBU counter-subversion operations that routinely foil Russian-linked assassination plots and internal dissent, while mobilization challenges and frontline pressures have not escalated to organized overthrow threats in recent weeks. High confidence stems from historical failed destabilization efforts and institutional resilience; realistic shifts could arise from sudden military collapse prompting elite defections or scandals, though significant barriers like unified security apparatus make this improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
Volume
$12,248Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus reflects near-certain stability in Ukraine's wartime leadership, with no verified intelligence, official announcements, or major developments signaling a coup attempt by June 30 amid martial law suspending elections and unifying elites against Russian invasion. Zelenskyy's administration maintains control through SBU counter-subversion operations that routinely foil Russian-linked assassination plots and internal dissent, while mobilization challenges and frontline pressures have not escalated to organized overthrow threats in recent weeks. High confidence stems from historical failed destabilization efforts and institutional resilience; realistic shifts could arise from sudden military collapse prompting elite defections or scandals, though significant barriers like unified security apparatus make this improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$12,248Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects near-certain stability in Ukraine's wartime leadership, with no verified intelligence, official announcements, or major developments signaling a coup attempt by June 30 amid martial law suspending elections and unifying elites against Russian invasion. Zelenskyy's administration maintains control through SBU counter-subversion operations that routinely foil Russian-linked assassination plots and internal dissent, while mobilization challenges and frontline pressures have not escalated to organized overthrow threats in recent weeks. High confidence stems from historical failed destabilization efforts and institutional resilience; realistic shifts could arise from sudden military collapse prompting elite defections or scandals, though significant barriers like unified security apparatus make this improbable before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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