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Politik·Ukraina

Zelenskyy keluar sebagai presiden Ukraina pada akhir 2026?

icon for Zelenskyy keluar sebagai presiden Ukraina pada akhir 2026?
Politik·Ukraina

Zelenskyy keluar sebagai presiden Ukraina pada akhir 2026?

Jun 30

Dec 31

Jun 30

Dec 31

Ya

16% peluang
Polymarket

$2,145,270 Vol.

Ya

16% peluang
Polymarket

$2,145,270 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing martial law in Ukraine, extended through August 2026 with parliamentary approval, continues to bar presidential elections under the constitution, reinforcing trader consensus that Volodymyr Zelenskyy will remain in office. The most recent major diplomatic development—a U.S.-mediated three-day ceasefire and 1,000-for-1,000 prisoner exchange confirmed by Zelenskyy on May 8—has sustained active negotiations without triggering leadership changes or domestic challenges. Zelenskyy’s public statements tying any vote to prior security guarantees and a stable ceasefire align with institutional continuity, while battlefield developments such as Russian territorial gains and Ukrainian long-range strikes have not shifted internal political dynamics. These factors, combined with Zelenskyy’s sustained public role in bilateral and multilateral diplomacy, underpin the 84.5 percent implied probability that he serves through year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,145,270
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x157Ce2d67...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing martial law in Ukraine, extended through August 2026 with parliamentary approval, continues to bar presidential elections under the constitution, reinforcing trader consensus that Volodymyr Zelenskyy will remain in office. The most recent major diplomatic development—a U.S.-mediated three-day ceasefire and 1,000-for-1,000 prisoner exchange confirmed by Zelenskyy on May 8—has sustained active negotiations without triggering leadership changes or domestic challenges. Zelenskyy’s public statements tying any vote to prior security guarantees and a stable ceasefire align with institutional continuity, while battlefield developments such as Russian territorial gains and Ukrainian long-range strikes have not shifted internal political dynamics. These factors, combined with Zelenskyy’s sustained public role in bilateral and multilateral diplomacy, underpin the 84.5 percent implied probability that he serves through year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,145,270
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x157Ce2d67...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Zelenskyy keluar sebagai presiden Ukraina pada akhir 2026?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 2 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Zelenskyy akan lengser sebagai presiden Ukraina pada akhir 2026?" di 16%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 16¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 16% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Zelenskyy keluar sebagai presiden Ukraina pada akhir 2026?" telah menghasilkan $2.1 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jul 24, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Zelenskyy keluar sebagai presiden Ukraina pada akhir 2026?," jelajahi 2 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Zelenskyy keluar sebagai presiden Ukraina pada akhir 2026?" adalah "Zelenskyy akan lengser sebagai presiden Ukraina pada akhir 2026?" di 16%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 16% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Zelenskyy keluar sebagai presiden Ukraina pada akhir 2026?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.