Erdoğan's ruling alliance is advancing plans to hold Turkey's presidential election early in March or April 2028, requiring a 360-vote parliamentary majority to trigger the snap vote and sidestep term limits for another candidacy. This follows recent statements from presidential adviser Mehmet Uçum and Nationalist Movement Party leader Devlet Bahçeli, while the coalition controls 331 seats. Parallel developments include cabinet changes viewed as preparing institutional continuity, sustained legal actions against opposition figures such as Ekrem İmamoğlu, and Erdoğan's call for a new constitution during the current parliamentary session. These factors, combined with a fragmented opposition, underpin trader consensus assigning low probability to his removal from office before the end of 2026.