Taiwan President Lai Ching-te faces an impeachment motion advanced by opposition parties in the legislature, with a final vote scheduled for May 19, 2026, that requires a two-thirds supermajority to proceed to the Constitutional Court. Opposition lawmakers hold roughly 60 of 113 seats, falling short of the threshold needed for removal and reflecting the Democratic Progressive Party’s continued control of the executive. Lai continues official duties, including recent addresses on defense cooperation and democracy summits, with no reported health issues, resignation announcements, or other constitutional triggers gaining traction. His four-year term, elected in 2024, extends through 2028 absent extraordinary developments. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns an 88% implied probability that Lai remains in office through December 31, 2026, consistent with historical patterns where legislative majorities limit early presidential exits in Taiwan’s system.