Skip to main content
icon for Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?
Dunia·China

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?

icon for Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?
Dunia·China

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?

$136,655 Vol.

Dec 30, 2026
Polymarket

$136,655 Vol.

Polymarket

December 31

$11,656 Vol.

14%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cho Jung-tai ceases to be Premier of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cho Jung-tai's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cho Jung-tai and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taiwan's Premier Cho Jung-tai, serving under President Lai Ching-te of the Democratic Progressive Party since 2024, faces low implied odds of an early exit amid ongoing legislative friction with the opposition Kuomintang-controlled body. Recent developments include Cho's March 2026 personal visit to Japan for the World Baseball Classic, which drew Beijing criticism but reinforced cross-strait signaling without triggering domestic upheaval, and repeated refusals to countersign opposition-backed spending measures, escalating constitutional disputes yet stopping short of no-confidence action. Institutional factors, including the premier's appointment by the president and limited historical precedent for swift removal, underpin trader consensus favoring continuity through late 2026 despite periodic cabinet friction and policy gridlock. No major scheduled votes or diplomatic deadlines appear poised to shift these dynamics in the near term.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cho Jung-tai ceases to be Premier of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Cho Jung-tai's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cho Jung-tai and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$136,655
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 13, 2026, 2:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cho Jung-tai ceases to be Premier of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cho Jung-tai's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cho Jung-tai and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cho Jung-tai ceases to be Premier of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cho Jung-tai's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cho Jung-tai and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taiwan's Premier Cho Jung-tai, serving under President Lai Ching-te of the Democratic Progressive Party since 2024, faces low implied odds of an early exit amid ongoing legislative friction with the opposition Kuomintang-controlled body. Recent developments include Cho's March 2026 personal visit to Japan for the World Baseball Classic, which drew Beijing criticism but reinforced cross-strait signaling without triggering domestic upheaval, and repeated refusals to countersign opposition-backed spending measures, escalating constitutional disputes yet stopping short of no-confidence action. Institutional factors, including the premier's appointment by the president and limited historical precedent for swift removal, underpin trader consensus favoring continuity through late 2026 despite periodic cabinet friction and policy gridlock. No major scheduled votes or diplomatic deadlines appear poised to shift these dynamics in the near term.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cho Jung-tai ceases to be Premier of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Cho Jung-tai's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cho Jung-tai and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$136,655
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 13, 2026, 2:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cho Jung-tai ceases to be Premier of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cho Jung-tai's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cho Jung-tai and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Terkait

icon for Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31?

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31?

44%
icon for Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by December 31?

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by December 31?

22%

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 2 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "December 31" di 14%, diikuti oleh "June 30" di 0%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 14¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 14% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?" telah menghasilkan $136.7K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jan 13, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?," jelajahi 2 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?" adalah "December 31" di 14%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 14% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "June 30" di 0%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.