Trump remains in office through mid-2026 with no successful removal proceedings underway, supporting the 94.5% implied probability that he will serve past the start of 2027. Earlier calls for impeachment or invocation of the 25th Amendment in April 2026, tied to statements on Iran, produced resolutions that were tabled without advancing to a Senate trial. Recent White House actions, including executive orders on domestic policy and public statements through August, show continuity in the administration. The 2026 midterms may shift congressional majorities but lack direct authority to alter the presidency before the target date, and no verified health, legal, or resignation developments have altered the timeline. Trader consensus reflects the structural barriers to removal and the absence of decisive catalysts in the current Congress.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTrump keluar sebagai Presiden sebelum 2027?
Trump keluar sebagai Presiden sebelum 2027?
Ya
6% peluang
$10,745,359 Vol.
$10,745,359 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Ya
6% peluang
$10,745,359 Vol.
$10,745,359 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump remains in office through mid-2026 with no successful removal proceedings underway, supporting the 94.5% implied probability that he will serve past the start of 2027. Earlier calls for impeachment or invocation of the 25th Amendment in April 2026, tied to statements on Iran, produced resolutions that were tabled without advancing to a Senate trial. Recent White House actions, including executive orders on domestic policy and public statements through August, show continuity in the administration. The 2026 midterms may shift congressional majorities but lack direct authority to alter the presidency before the target date, and no verified health, legal, or resignation developments have altered the timeline. Trader consensus reflects the structural barriers to removal and the absence of decisive catalysts in the current Congress.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Volume
$10,745,359Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump remains in office through mid-2026 with no successful removal proceedings underway, supporting the 94.5% implied probability that he will serve past the start of 2027. Earlier calls for impeachment or invocation of the 25th Amendment in April 2026, tied to statements on Iran, produced resolutions that were tabled without advancing to a Senate trial. Recent White House actions, including executive orders on domestic policy and public statements through August, show continuity in the administration. The 2026 midterms may shift congressional majorities but lack direct authority to alter the presidency before the target date, and no verified health, legal, or resignation developments have altered the timeline. Trader consensus reflects the structural barriers to removal and the absence of decisive catalysts in the current Congress.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$10,745,359Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump remains in office through mid-2026 with no successful removal proceedings underway, supporting the 94.5% implied probability that he will serve past the start of 2027. Earlier calls for impeachment or invocation of the 25th Amendment in April 2026, tied to statements on Iran, produced resolutions that were tabled without advancing to a Senate trial. Recent White House actions, including executive orders on domestic policy and public statements through August, show continuity in the administration. The 2026 midterms may shift congressional majorities but lack direct authority to alter the presidency before the target date, and no verified health, legal, or resignation developments have altered the timeline. Trader consensus reflects the structural barriers to removal and the absence of decisive catalysts in the current Congress.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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