Republican congressional majorities and the constitutional requirements for impeachment conviction or 25th Amendment invocation continue to anchor trader expectations that Donald Trump will remain in office through at least early 2027. Since beginning his second term in January 2025, Trump has maintained an active schedule of executive actions and public appearances without verified incapacity or bipartisan removal momentum. Recent Democratic impeachment resolutions have been tabled by House majorities, while Cabinet-level action on fitness remains absent. Low approval ratings and midterm uncertainties introduce longer-term risks, yet the short window before 2027 limits pathways for rapid change absent acute health events or unprecedented congressional defections.